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Spinning for apples (5.3 or 6.3) In the “Ask Marilyn” column of Parade magazine, a reader posed this question: “Say that a slot machine has five wheels, and each wheel has five symbols: an apple, a grape, a peach, a pear, and a plum. I pull the lever five times. What are the chances that I’ll get at least one apple?” Suppose that the wheels spin independently and that the five symbols are equally likely to appear on each wheel in a given spin.

a. Find the probability that the slot player gets at least one apple in one pull of the lever.

b. Now answer the reader’s question.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part (a) The odds of a slot player getting at least one apple in one pull of the lever are 0.67232to1

Part (b) Answer of reader’s question is 0.996222

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1: Given information

Each wheel has five symbols.

02

Part (a) Step 2: Calculation

Each of the five symbols has an equal chance of appearing, therefore four and five symbols are not apples.

The probability is,

P(no.ofapple)=favourableoutcomespossibleoutcomes=45=0.8

The multiplication rule says that

P(AandB)=P(A)×P(B)

Using the multiplication rule, determine the probability of getting no. apples on five wheels:

P(5no.ofapples)=P(noapple)×...×P(noapple)=P(noapple)5=0.855=0.32768

Using the complement rule, calculate the likelihood of getting at least one apple on five wheels:

P(notA=1P(A)P(atleast1appleon5wheels)=1P(5noapples)=10.32768=0.67232

The odds of a slot player getting at least one apple in a single pull of the lever are 0.67232to1

03

Part (b) Step 1: Calculation

Each of the five symbols has an equal chance of appearing, therefore four and five symbols are not apples.

The probability is,

P(no.ofapple)=favourableoutcomespossibleoutcomes=45=0.8

According to the rule of multiplication,

P(AandB)=P(A)×P(B)

Using the multiplication rule, determine the probability of getting no. apples on five wheels:

P(5no.ofapples)=P(noapple)×...×P(noapple)=P(noapple)5=0.85=0.32768

Using the complement rule, calculate the likelihood of getting at least one apple on five wheels:

P(notA=1P(A)

After that, the final answer is calculated.

Reader’s answer is 0.996222

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Teen drivers Refer to Exercise 51.

a. Construct and interpret a 95% confidence interval for the true proportion p of all teens in the state who passed their driving test on the first attempt. Assume that the conditions for inference are met.

b. Explain why the interval in part (a) provides more information than the test in Exercise 51.

18%Members of the city council want to know if a majority of city residents supports a 1%increase in the sales tax to fund road repairs. To investigate, they survey a random sample of 300city residents and use the results to test the following hypotheses:

H0:p=0.50

Ha:p>0.50

where pis the proportion of all city residents who support a 1%increase in the sales tax to fund road repairs.

In the sample, p^=158/300=0.527, The resulting P-value is 0.18. What is the correct interpretation of this P-value?

a. Only 18% of the city residents support the tax increase.

b. There is an 18%chance that the majority of residents supports the tax increase.

c. Assuming that 50%of residents support the tax increase, there is an 18%probability that the sample proportion would be 0.527or greater by chance alone.

d. Assuming that more than 50%of residents support the tax increase, there is an 18%probability that the sample proportion would be 0.527or greater by chance alone.

e. Assuming that 50%of residents support the tax increase, there is an 18% chance that the null hypothesis is true by chance alone.

Two-sided test Suppose you want to perform a test of H0:μ=64

versus Ha:μnotequalto64at the α=0.05significance level. A random sample

of size n=25 from the population of interest yields x¯=62.8 and sx=5.36

. Assume that the conditions for carrying out the test are met.

a. Explain why the sample result gives some evidence for the alternative hypothesis.

b. Calculate the standardized test statistic and P-value.

Interpreting a P-value A student performs a test of H0:μ=100H0:μ=100versus Ha: μ>100Ha:μ>100and gets a P-value of 0.044.The student says, "There is a0.044 probability of getting the sample result I did by chance alone." Explain why the student's explanation is wrong.

How much juice? Refer to Exercise 3. The mean amount of liquid in the bottles is 179.6ml and the standard deviation is 1.3ml. A significance test yields a P-value of 0.0589. Interpret the P-value.

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