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Benford’s law Exercise 9 described how the first digits of numbers in legitimate records often follow a model known as Benford’s law. Call the first digit of a randomly chosen legitimate record X for short. The probability distribution for X is shown here (note that a first digit can’t be 0). From Exercise 9, E(X)=3.441. Find the standard deviation of X. Interpret this value.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The standard deviation is 2.4618.

Step by step solution

01

Step 1. Given information.

The given information is:

02

Step 2. Find and interpret the standard deviation of X.

The given mean is 3.441.

The predicted value of the squared departure from the mean is known as the variance:

σ2=x-μ2Px=1-3.4412×0.301+2-3.4412×0.176+3-3.4412×0.125+4-3.4412×0.097+5-3.4412×0.079+6-3.4412×0.067+7-3.4412×0.058+8-3.4412×0.051+9-3.4412×0.046=6.060519

The standard deviation is:

σ=σ2=6.0605192.4618

We can see that on an average the first digit will vary from a mean of 3.441 by 2.4618.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Benford’s law and fraud

(a) Using the graph from Exercise 21, calculate the standard deviation σY. This gives us an idea of how much variation we’d expect in the employee’s expense records if he assumed that first digits from 1 to 9 were equally likely.

(b) The standard deviation of the first digits of randomly selected expense amounts that follow Benford’s law is σX=2.46. Would using standard deviations be a good way to detect fraud? Explain your answer.

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Part (b). Express the event “at least $20 is collected” in terms of Y. What is the probability of this event?

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