Chapter 5: Q. 53 (page 329)
Union and intersection Suppose A and B are two events such that P (A), P (B), and
P (A∪B). Find P (A∩B).
Short Answer
The Pis.
Chapter 5: Q. 53 (page 329)
Union and intersection Suppose A and B are two events such that P (A), P (B), and
P (A∪B). Find P (A∩B).
The Pis.
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Reading the paper In a large business hotel, of guests read the Los Angeles Times. Only read the Wall Street Journal. Five percent of guests read both papers. Suppose we select a hotel guest at random and record which of the two papers the person reads, if either. What’s the probability that the person reads the Los Angeles Times or the Wall Street Journal?
Does the new hire use drugs? Many employers require prospective employees to
take a drug test. A positive result on this test suggests that the prospective employee uses
illegal drugs. However, not all people who test positive use illegal drugs. The test result
could be a false positive. A negative test result could be a false negative if the person
really does use illegal drugs. Suppose that of prospective employees use drugs and
that the drug test has a false positive rate of and a false negative rate of.
Imagine choosing a prospective employee at random.
a. Draw a tree diagram to model this chance process.
b. Find the probability that the drug test result is positive.
c. If the prospective employee’s drug test result is positive, find the probability that she
or he uses illegal drugs.
Taking the train According to New Jersey Transit, the weekday train from Princeton to New York City has a chance of arriving on time. To test this claim, an auditor chooses weekdays at random during a month to ride this train. The train arrives late on of those days. Does the auditor have convincing evidence that the company's claim is false? Describe how you would carry out a simulation to estimate the probability that a train with a chance of arriving on time each day would be late on or more of days. Do not perform the simulation.
You read in a book about bridge that the probability that each of the four players is dealt exactly one ace is approximately . This means that
a. in every bridge deals, each player has ace exactly times.
b. in million bridge deals, the number of deals on which each player has ace will be exactly .
c. in a very large number of bridge deals, the percent of deals on which each player has ace will be very close to .
d. in a very large number of bridge deals, the average number of aces in a hand will be very close to .
e. If each player gets an ace in only of the first deals, then each player should get an ace in more than of the next deals.
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