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Teens and their TV sets According to a Gallup Poll report, 64%of teens aged 13to 17have TVs in their rooms. Here is part of the footnote to this report:

These results are based on telephone interviews with a randomly selected national sample of 1028teenagers in the Gallup Poll Panel of households, aged 13to 17. For results based on this sample, one can say that the maximum error attributable to sampling and other random effects is ±3percentage points. In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

a. We omitted the confidence level from the footnote. Use what you have learned to estimate the confidence level, assuming that Gallup took an SRS.

b. Give an example of a “practical difficulty” that could lead to bias in this survey.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. Confidence Level is 95.44%

b. Non Response Bias.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

It is given that n=1028

p^=64%=0.64

E=3%=0.03

02

Confidence Level

We know that

Marin of Error E=Zα/2×p^(1-p^)n

Therefore

0.03=Zα/2×0.64(1-0.64)1028

Zα/2=0.030.01497=2

Probability is determines as: P(-2<Z<2)=P(Z<2)-P(Z<-2)

P(-2<Z<2)=0.9772-0.0228

P(-2<Z<2)=0.9544=95.44%

Confidence Level is95.44%

03

"Practical Difficulty" example of bias

Non Sampling bias include:

Selection bias, Response bias, Non Response bias.

If we don't have data for everybody, in results in non response bias.

This prevail mostly among teenagers as they are not willing in participation in surveys.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

More Oranges:The gardener in the previous exercise randomly selects 20

mandarin oranges from the tree and counts the number of seeds in each orange. Here are the data:

a. Graph the data using a dot plot.

b. Based on your graph, is it plausible that the number of seeds from oranges on this tree follows a distribution that is approximately Normal? Explain your answer.

Got shoes? How many pairs of shoes, on average, do female teens have? To find out, an AP Statistics class selected an SRS of 20female students from their school.

Then they recorded the number of pairs of shoes that each student reported having. Here

are the data:

The Gallup Poll interviews 1600 people. Of these, 18% say that they jog regularly. The news report adds: “The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points at a 95% confidence level.” You can safely conclude that

a. 95% of all Gallup Poll samples like this one give answers within ±3% of the true population value.

b. the percent of the population who jog is certain to be between 15% and 21%.

c. 95% of the population jog between 15% and 21% of the time.

d. we can be 95% confident that the sample proportion is captured by the confidence interval.

e. if Gallup took many samples, 95% of them would find that 18% of the people in the sample jog.

School vouchers A small pilot study estimated that 44%of all American

adults agree that parents should be given vouchers that are good for education at any public or private school of their choice.

a. How large a random sample is required to obtain a margin of error of at most 0.03with 99%confidence? Answer this question using the pilot study’s result as the guessed value for p^

b. Answer the question in part (a) again, but this time use the conservative guessp^=0.5. By how much do the two sample sizes differ?

Losing weight Refer to Exercise 6.

a. Explain what would happen to the length of the interval if the confidence level was decreased to 90%.

b. How would a 95%confidence interval based on triple the sample size compare to the original 95%interval?

c. As Gallup indicates, the 3percentage point margin of error for this poll includes only sampling variability (what they call “sampling error”). What other potential sources of error (Gallup calls these “non sampling errors”) could affect the accuracy of the 95% confidence interval?

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