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A random sample of 100of last year’s model of a certain popular car found that 20had a specific minor defect in the brakes. The automaker adjusted the production process to try to reduce the proportion of cars with the brake problem. A random sample of 350of this year’s model found that 50had the minor brake defect.

a. Was the company’s adjustment successful? Carry out an appropriate test to support your answer. b. Based on your conclusion in part (a), which mistake—a Type I error or a Type II error—could have been made? Describe a possible consequence of this error.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. The answer isP=P(Z>1.39)=P(Z<-1.39)=0.0823

b. Failure to reject the null hypothesis is a type II mistake.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1: Given information

We have to tell about was the company’s adjustment successful

02

Part (a) Step 2: Explanation

It has been given that

x1=20,x2=50,n1=100,n2=350

p^2=x2n2=503500.1429

z=p^1-p^2p^p1-p^p1n1+1n2=0.2-0.14290.1556(1-0.1556)1100+13501.39

The values using the table

P=P(Z>1.39)=P(Z<-1.39)=0.0823

03

Part (b) Step 1: Given information

We have to tell possible consequence of this error.

04

Part (b) Step 2: Explanation

The null hypothesis H was not rejected.

  • Type I blunder: H should be rejected as a null hypothesis, if H 0H is true as the null hypothesis.

Failure to reject the null hypothesis is a type II mistake.

If the null hypothesis H is false, then

It's only feasible that we made.

  • Type II error because we didn't reject the null hypothesis H .

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Researchers suspect that Variety A tomato plants have a different average yield than Variety B tomato plants. To find out, researchers randomly select10Variety A and10Variety B tomato plants. Then the researchers divide in half each of10small plots of land in different locations. For each plot, a coin toss determines which half of the plot gets a Variety A plant; a Variety B plant goes in the other half. After harvest, they compare the yield in pounds for the plants at each location. The10differences (Variety A − Variety B) in yield are recorded. A graph of the differences looks roughly symmetric and single-peaked with no outliers. The mean difference is x-=0.343051526=0.200=20%x-A-B=0.34and the standard deviation of the differences is s A-B=0.833051526=0.200=20%=sA-B=0.83.LetμA-B=3051526=0.200=20%μA−B = the true mean difference (Variety A − Variety B) in yield for tomato plants of these two varieties.

The P-value for a test of H0: μA−B=03051526=0.200=20%versus Ha: μA−B≠0 is 0.227. Which of the following is the

correct interpretation of this P-value?

a. The probability that μA−B is0.227.

b. Given that the true mean difference (Variety A – Variety B) in yield for these two varieties of tomato plants is0, the probability of getting a sample mean difference of0.34is0.227.

c. Given that the true mean difference (Variety A – Variety B) in yield for these two varieties of tomato plants is0, the probability of getting a sample mean difference of0.34or greater is0.227.

d. Given that the true mean difference (Variety A – Variety B) in yield for these two varieties of tomato plants is0, the probability of getting a sample mean difference greater than or equal to0.34or less than or equal to −0.34is0.227.

e. Given that the true mean difference (Variety A – Variety B) in yield for these two varieties of tomato plants is not 0, the probability of getting a sample mean difference greater than or equal to 0.34or less than or equal to −0.34is0.227.

Response bias Does the appearance of the interviewer influence how people respond to a survey question? Ken (white, with blond hair) and Hassan (darker, with Middle Eastern features) conducted an experiment to address this question. They took turns (in a random order) walking up to people on the main street of a small town, identifying themselves as students from a local high school, and asking them, “Do you support President Obama’s decision to launch airstrikes in Iraq?” Of the 50people Hassan spoke to, 11said “Yes,” while 21of the 44people Ken spoke to said “Yes.” Construct and interpret a 90%confidence interval for the difference in the proportion of people like these who would say they support President Obama’s decision when asked by Hassan versus when asked by Ken.

Suppose the true proportion of people who use public transportation to get to work in the Washington, D.C. area is 0.45. In a simple random sample of 250people who work in Washington, about how far do you expect the sample proportion to be from the true proportion?

a. 0.4975

b. 0.2475

c. 0.0315

d. 0.0009

e.0

Children make choices Refer to Exercise 15.

a. Explain why the sample results give some evidence for the alternative hypothesis.

b. Calculate the standardized test statistic and P-value.

c. What conclusion would you make?

A survey asked a random sample of U.S. adults about their political party affiliation and how long they thought they would survive compared to most people in their community if an apocalyptic disaster were to strike. The responses are summarized in the following two-way table.

Suppose we select one of the survey respondents at random. Which of the following probabilities is the largest?

a. P(Independent and Longer)

b. P(Independent or Not as long)

c. P(Democrat 3051526=0.200=20.0%| Not as long)

d. P(About as long 3051526=0.200=20.0%| Democrat)

e. P(About as long)

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