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The French naturalist Count Buffon (1707-1788) tossed a coin 4040 times. He got 2048 heads. That's a bit more than one-half. Is this evidence that Count Buffon's coin was not balanced? To find out, Luisa decides to perform a significance test. Unfortunately, she made a few errors along the way. Your job is to spot the mistakes and correct them.

H0:μ>0.5Ha:x¯=0.5

- Independent 4040(0.5)=2020 and 4040(1-0.5)=2020 are both at least 10 .

- Normal There are at least 40,400 coins in the world.

t=0.50.5070.5(0.5)4040=0.89;P-value=10.1867=0.8133

Reject H0because the P-value is so large and conclude that the coin is fair.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The coin is fair as there is enough evidence.

Step by step solution

01

Introduction

the hypothesis to be a scientific hypothesis, the scientific technique requires that one can test it. Scientists for the most part base scientific speculations on previous observations that can't satisfactorily be explained with the available scientific theories

02

Explanation 

coins have been tossed n= 4040times

Head obtained x = 2048

Sample proportion role="math" localid="1652936572256" p-=xn=20484040=0.507

Calculating the null and alternative hypotheses,

H0:p=0.5H0:p0.5

Using, Z=p-p0p01p0n=0.5070.500.50(0.50)4040=0.890

Calculating the p-value,=2×P(Z>|z|)

=2×P(Z>|0.890|)=0.373

The p-value is greater than the significance level hence coin is fair as there is enough evidence.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Refer to Exercise 1. In Simon’s SRS, 16 of the students were left-handed. A significance test yields a P-value of 0.2184.

(a) Interpret this result in context.

(b) Do the data provide convincing evidence against the null hypothesis? Explain.

When asked to explain the meaning of the P-value in Exercise 13, a student

says, “This means there is only probability 0.01 that the null hypothesis is true.” Explain clearly why the student’s explanation is wrong.

Paying high prices? A retailer entered into an exclusive agreement with a supplier who guaranteed to provide all products at competitive prices. The retailer eventually began to purchase supplies from other vendors who offered better prices. The original supplier filed a lawsuit claiming violation of the agreement. In defense, the retailer had an audit performed on a random sample of 25invoices. For each audited invoice, all purchases made from other suppliers were examined and compared with those offered by the original supplier. The percent of purchases on each invoice for which an alternative supplier offered a lower price than the original supplier was recorded.26For example, a data value of 38means that the price would be lower with a different supplier for 38%of the items on the invoice. A histogram and some computer output

for these data are shown below. Explain why we should not carry out a one-sample t-test in this setting.

In a test of H0:p=0.4against Ha:p0.4, a random sample of size 100yields a test statistic of z=1.28. The P-value of the test is approximately equal to

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(b) 0.40.

(c) 0.05.

(d) 0.20.

(e) 0.10.

Normal body temperature (8.2) If "normal" body temperature really is 98.6F, we would expect the proportion pof all healthy 18- to 40 -year-olds who have body temperatures less than this value to be 0.5. Construct and interpret a 95% confidence interval for p. What conclusion would you draw?

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