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Random assignment Researchers recruited 20volunteers—8men and 12women—to take part in an experiment. They randomly assigned the subjects

into two groups of 10people each. To their surprise, 6of the 8men were randomly assigned to the same treatment. Should they be surprised? Design and carry out a simulation to estimate the probability that the random assignment puts 6or more men in the same group. Follow the four-step

process.

Short Answer

Expert verified

There will be 2 to 6 men as a result. Yes, they should be taken aback.

Step by step solution

01

Step 1. Given Information    

There were a total of volunteers n=20,M=8,W=12 We'll need to devise and carry out an experiment to determine the likelihood that the random selection will result in a group of six or more males.

02

Step 2. Concept Used  

We can't foresee the outcomes of a chance process, yet they have a regular distribution over a large number of repetitions. According to the law of large numbers, the fraction of times a specific event occurs in numerous repetitions approaches a single number. The likelihood of a chance outcome is its long-run relative frequency. A probability is a number between 0(never happens) and 1(happens frequently) (always occurs).

03

Step 3. Explanation

We should, in order to carry out the simulation, Use two-digit numbers instead of three-digit numbers. Assign the numbers to 01to 08a man. A woman is represented by the numerals 09to 20 through Ignore the numerals 00 through , as well as the number 21to 99Pick ten numbers at random between 01and 20, with no repetitions permitted. Count how many men are in the sample. Rep this simulation as many times as you like. You'll probably get between 2and 6males as a result, and sure, they should be startled.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The birthday problem What’s the probability that in a randomly selected group of30 unrelated people, at least two have the same birthday? Let’s make two

assumptions to simplify the problem. First, we’ll ignore the possibility of a February 29 birthday. Second, we assume that a randomly chosen person is equally likely to be born on each of the remaining 365 days of the year.

(a) How would you use random digits to imitate one repetition of the process? What variable would you measure?

(b) Use technology to perform 5 repetitions. Record the outcome of each repetition.

(c) Would you be surprised to learn that the theoretical probability is 0.71? Why or why not?

At the gym Suppose that 10%of adults belong to health clubs, and 40% of these health club members go to the club at least twice a week. What percent of all adults go to a health club at least twice a week? Write the information given in terms of probabilities, and use the general multiplication rule.

Role-playing games Refer to Exercise 39. Define event A: sum is 5. Find P(A).

IfC is the event that the person chosen has normal cholesterol (below 200 mg/dl), what’s P(C)?

Genetics Suppose a married man and woman both carry a gene for cystic fibrosis but don’t have the disease themselves. According to the laws of genetics, the probability that their first child will develop cystic fibrosis is 0.25

(a) Explain what this probability means.

(b) Why doesn’t this probability say that if the couple has 4 children, one of them is guaranteed to get cystic fibrosis?

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