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Baldness and heart disease. Medical researchers followed 1435 middle-aged men for a period of 5 years, measuring the amount of Baldness present (none \(=1\), little \(=2\), some \(=3\), much \(=4\), extreme \(=5\) ) and presence of Heart Disense \((\mathrm{No}=0\), Yes \(=1)\). They found a correlation of \(0.089\) between the two variables, Comment on their conclusion that this shows that baldness is not a possible cause of heart disease.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The weak correlation of 0.089 suggests no significant relationship, so baldness is unlikely a cause of heart disease.

Step by step solution

01

Understand Correlation

The correlation between two variables quantifies the degree to which they are related. A correlation of 0 indicates no linear relationship, while 1 or -1 indicates a perfect linear relationship.
02

Examine the Correlation Value

The researchers found a correlation value of 0.089 between baldness and heart disease. This is very close to 0, indicating a very weak linear relationship between the two variables.
03

Interpret the Weak Correlation

A correlation value as low as 0.089 suggests that there is almost no linear association between baldness and heart disease. It shows that changes in one variable are not linearly associated with changes in the other.
04

Consider Other Factors

Correlation does not imply causation; even a strong correlation would not prove that baldness causes heart disease. Other factors not studied could influence the development of heart disease.
05

Conclusion on Causality

Given the very weak correlation, baldness does not appear to be a likely cause of heart disease based on this data. The researchers likely concluded that baldness is not a direct cause due to this negligible correlation.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Baldness Study
In the Baldness Study, researchers conducted an investigation over five years, focusing on 1435 middle-aged men. This study measured the degree of baldness among these men using a scale from none (1) to extreme (5). By observing these individuals, the researchers aimed to discover any associations between baldness and heart disease. The concept of grading baldness was vital because it offered a standardized way to analyze and compare individuals. By assigning numerical values, the researchers facilitated statistical analysis, focusing specifically on whether baldness might be related to heart disease. The study concluded with a correlation of 0.089 between the extent of baldness and the presence of heart disease. This mild correlation means that baldness, as evaluated in this study, doesn't have a noticeable linear relationship with heart disease, indicating that one does not predict the other.
Heart Disease Research
Heart Disease Research is a broad field involving many studies seeking to uncover risk factors and potential causes of heart disease. The research involving baldness and heart disease is one of many in this field. In this specific research, heart disease presence was marked as either no (0) or yes (1), simplifying the complex nature of heart disease into binary outcomes for the study's purposes. Researchers frequently employ such simplification to handle large data sets, making the analysis more manageable. Understanding heart disease requires considering numerous factors. Although this study aimed to focus on baldness, other variables like genetics, lifestyle, and pre-existing health conditions often play significant roles. This complexity is why the study couldn’t conclusively say baldness causes heart disease, only that it didn’t show a strong correlation in this case.
Linear Relationship
A Linear Relationship in statistical terms refers to a straightforward relationship between two variables that can be graphed as a straight line. The strength and direction of this relationship is measured by correlation coefficients, ranging from -1 to 1. In the Baldness and Heart Disease study, a correlation coefficient of 0.089 indicated a very weak linear relationship between the extent of baldness and the likelihood of having heart disease. This number is close to zero, suggesting that changes in one variable do not predict changes in the other linearly at all. It's important to recognize that a weak or nonexistent linear relationship doesn't automatically mean there is no relationship of any kind. It simply shows that, based on the data collected, baldness doesn't linearly correlate with heart disease. Always consider multiple influencing factors and potential non-linear relationships when interpreting such data.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Association. A researcher investigating the association between two variables collected some data and was surprised when he calculated the correlation. He had expected to find a fairly strong association, yet the correlation was near 0 . Discouraged, he didn't bother making a scatterplot. Explain to him how the scatterplot could still reveal the strong association he anticipated.

Prediction units. The errors in predicting hurricane tracks (examined in this chapter) were given in nautical miles. An ordinary mile is \(0.86898\) nautical miles. Most people living on the Gulf Coast of the United States would prefer to know the prediction errors in miles rather than nautical miles. Explain why converting the errors to miles would not change the correlation between Prediction Error and Year.

Roller coasters. Roller coasters get all their speed by dropping down a steep initial incline, so it makes sense that the height of that drop might be related to the speed of the coaster. Here's a scatterplot of top Speed and largest Drop for 75 roller coasters around the world. a) Does the scatterplot indicate that it is appropriate to calculate the correlation? Explain. b) In fact, the correlation of Speed and Drop is \(0.91\). Describe the association.

Attendance 2006. American League baseball games are played under the designated hitter rule, meaning that pitchers, often weak hitters, do not come to bat. Baseball owners believe that the designated hitter rule means more runs scored, which in turn means higher attendance. Is there evidence that more fans attend games if the teams score more runs? Data collected from American League games during the 2006 season indicate a correlation of \(0.667\) between runs scored and the number of people at the game. (http: //mlb.mlb.com) a) Does the scatterplot indicate that it's appropriate to calculate a correlation? Explain. b) Describe the association between attendance and runs scored. c) Does this association prove that the owners are right that more fans will come to games if the teams score more runs?

Interest rates and mortgages. Since 1980 , average mortgage interest rates have fluctuated from a low of under \(6 \%\) to a high of over \(14 \%\). Is there a relationship between the amount of money people borrow and the interest rate that's offered? Here is a scatterplot of Total Mortgages in the United States (in millions of 2005 dollars) versus Interest Rate at various times over the past 26 years. The correlation is \(-0.84\). a) Describe the relationship between Total Mortgages and Interest Rate. b) If we standardized both variables, what would the correlation coefficient between the standardized variables be? c) If we were to measure Total Mortgages in thousands of dollars instead of millions of dollars, how would the correlation coefficient change? d) Suppose in another year, interest rates were \(11 \%\) and mortgages totaled \(\$ 250\) million. How would including that year with these data affect the correlation coefficient? e) Do these data provide proof that if mortgage rates are lowered, people will take out more mortgages? Explain.

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