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In Exercise 9.27 we see that the conditions are met for fitting a linear model to predict life expectancy (LifeExpectancy) from the percentage of government expenditure spent on health care (Health) using the data in SampCountries. Use technology to examine this relationship further, as requested below. (a) Find the correlation between the two variables and give the p-value for a test of the correlation. (b) Find the regression line and give the t-statistic and p-value for testing the slope of the regression line. (c) Find the F-statistic and the p-value from an ANOVA test for the effectiveness of the model. (d) Comment on the effectiveness of this model.

Short Answer

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This short answer section will be filled after performing the actual numerical calculations. Hence it will be based on the findings from the statistical software analysis.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the correlation

First, you must calculate the correlation between the 'LifeExpectancy' and 'Health' variables using a statistical software. The correlation will give you an idea of the strength and direction of the linear relationship between these two variables. Also, perform a hypothesis test to find out the p-value. The null hypothesis is that the correlation is zero, and the alternative is that it is not zero.
02

Calculate the regression line

Then, calculate the regression line to predict 'LifeExpectancy' based on 'Health'. The equation will be of the form \(y = mx + c\), where \(m\) is the slope and \(c\) is the intercept. Again, use your statistical software to perform a hypothesis test for the slope. The null hypothesis is that the slope is zero (indicating no relationship between 'LifeExpectancy' and 'Health'), and the alternative is that it is not zero.
03

Perform an ANOVA test

Next, perform an analysis of variance (ANOVA) test. This will calculate the F-statistic, which tests the overall significance of the model. As with the previous steps, use statistical software to find the F-statistic and p-value.
04

Comment on the model's effectiveness

Finally, based on your analyses in the earlier steps, provide a comment on the model's effectiveness. If the p-values from your hypothesis tests are less than your chosen significance level (typically 0.05), then the model can be considered effective. Additionally, consider the practical implications of your findings when making this comment.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Use this information to fill in all values in an analysis of variance for regression table as shown. $$ \begin{array}{|l|l|l|l|l|l|} \hline \text { Source } & \text { df } & \text { SS } & \text { MS } & \text { F-statistic } & \text { p-value } \\ \hline \text { Model } & & & & & \\ \hline \text { Error } & & & & & \\ \hline \text { Total } & & & & & \\ \hline \end{array} $$ SSModel \(=8.5\) with SSError \(=247.2\) and a sample size of \(n=25\).

A common (and hotly debated) saying among sports fans is "Defense wins championships." Is offensive scoring ability or defensive stinginess a better indicator of a team's success? To investigate this question we'll use data from the \(2015-2016\) National Basketball Association (NBA) regular season. The data \(^{6}\) stored in NBAStandings2016 include each team's record (wins, losses, and winning percentage) along with the average number of points the team scored per game (PtsFor) and average number of points scored against them ( PtsAgainst). (a) Examine scatterplots for predicting \(\operatorname{WinPct}\) using PtsFor and predicting WinPct using PtsAgainst. In each case, discuss whether conditions for fitting a linear model appear to be met. (b) Fit a model to predict winning percentage (WinPct) using offensive ability (PtsFor). Write down the prediction equation and comment on whether PtsFor is an effective predictor. (c) Repeat the process of part (b) using PtsAgainst as the predictor. (d) Compare and interpret \(R^{2}\) for both models. (e) The Golden State Warriors set an NBA record by winning 73 games in the regular season and only losing 9 (WinPct \(=0.890\) ). They scored an average of 114.9 points per game while giving up an average of 104.1 points against. Find the predicted winning percentage for the Warriors using each of the models in (b) and (c). (f) Overall, does one of the predictors, PtsFor or PtsAgainst, appear to be more effective at explaining winning percentages for NBA teams? Give some justification for your answer.

Life Expectancy In Exercise 9.27 on page 607 , we consider a regression equation to predict life expectancy from percent of government expenditure on health care, using data for a sample of 50 countries in SampCountries. Using technology and this dataset, find and interpret a \(95 \%\) prediction interval for each of the following situations: (a) A country which puts only \(3 \%\) of its expenditure into health care. (b) A country which puts \(10 \%\) of its expenditure into health care. (c) A country which puts \(50 \%\) of its expenditure into health care. (d) Calculate the widths of the intervals from (a), (b), and (c). What do you notice about these widths? (Note that for this sample, government expenditures on health care go from a minimum of \(4.0 \%\) to a maximum of \(20.89 \%\), with a mean of \(12.31 \% .)\)

We show an ANOVA table for regression. State the hypotheses of the test, give the F-statistic and the p-value, and state the conclusion of the test. $$ \begin{array}{lrrrr} \text { Analysis of Variance } & & & & \\ \text { Source } & \text { DF } & \text { SS } & \text { MS } & \text { F } & \text { P } \\ \text { Regression } & 1 & 3396.8 & 3396.8 & 21.85 & 0.000 \\ \text { Residual Error } & 174 & 27053.7 & 155.5 & & \\ \text { Total } & 175 & 30450.5 & & & \end{array} $$

Exercise 9.19 on page 588 introduces a study examining the relationship between the number of friends an individual has on Facebook and grey matter density in the areas of the brain associated with social perception and associative memory. The data are available in the dataset FacebookFriends and the relevant variables are GMdensity (normalized \(z\) -scores of grey matter density in the brain) and \(F B\) friends (the number of friends on Facebook). The study included 40 students at City University London. Computer output for ANOVA for regression to predict the number of Facebook friends from the normalized brain density score is shown below. The regression equation is FBfriends \(=367+82.4\) GMdensity Analysis of Variance \(\begin{array}{lrrrrr}\text { Source } & \text { DF } & \text { SS } & \text { MS } & \text { F } & \text { P } \\ \text { Regression } & 1 & 245400 & 245400 & 8.94 & 0.005 \\ \text { Residual Error } & 38 & 1043545 & 27462 & & \\ \text { Total } & 39 & 1288946 & & & \end{array}\) Is the linear model effective at predicting the number of Facebook friends? Give the F-statistic from the ANOVA table, the p-value, and state the conclusion in context. (We see in Exercise 9.19 that the conditions are met for fitting a linear model in this situation.)

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