Getting to the Finish In a certain board game participants roll a standard
six-sided die and need to hit a particular value to get to the finish line
exactly. For example, if Carol is three spots from the finish, only a roll of
3 will let her win; anything else and she must wait another turn to roll
again. The chance of getting the number she wants on any roll is \(p=1 / 6\) and
the rolls are independent of each other. We let a random variable \(X\) count
the number of turns until a player gets the number needed to win. The possible
values of \(X\) are \(1,2,3, \ldots\) and the probability function for any
particular count is given by the formula
$$
P(X=k)=p(1-p)^{k-1}
$$
(a) Find the probability a player finishes on the third turn.
(b) Find the probability a player takes more than three turns to finish.