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Suppose that for a particular hypothesis test, the consequences of a Type I error are very serious. Would you want to carry out the test using a small significance level \(\alpha\) (such as 0.01 ) or a larger significance level (such as 0.10 )? Explain the reason for your choice.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Given the serious consequences of a Type I error, it would be better to carry out the test using a small significance level (such as 0.01) to minimize the risk of committing a Type I error.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Type I Errors

A Type I error occurs when the null hypothesis is true but it is rejected. It is often considered a 'false positive.' The consequences of a Type I error can be serious, depending on the context of the test.
02

Understanding Significance Level

The significance level (\(\alpha\)) is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true. Therefore, a smaller value of \(\alpha\) decreases the chance of a Type I error.
03

Making the Decision

Given the serious consequences of a Type I error in this case, it would be preferable to choose a small significance level, such as 0.01, to minimize the risk of a Type I error.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The article "Poll Finds Most Oppose Return to Draft, Wouldn't Encourage Children to Enlist" (Associated Press, December 18,2005\()\) reports that in a random sample of 1,000 American adults, 700 indicated that they oppose the reinstatement of a military draft. Suppose you want to use this information to decide if there is convincing evidence that the proportion of American adults who oppose reinstatement of the draft is greater than two-thirds. a. What hypotheses should be tested in order to answer this question? b. The \(P\) -value for this test is \(0.013 .\) What conclusion would you reach if \(\alpha=0.05 ?\)

The article "Fewer Parolees Land Back Behind Bars" (Associated Press, April 11,2006 ) includes the following statement: "Just over \(38 \%\) of all felons who were released from prison in 2003 landed back behind bars by the end of the following year, the lowest rate since \(1979 . "\) Explain why it would not be necessary to carry out a hypothesis test to determine if the proportion of felons released in 2003 who landed back behind bars by the end of the following year was less than 0.40.

One type of error in a hypothesis test is rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true. What is the other type of error that might occur when a hypothesis test is carried out?

For which of the following \(P\) -values will the null hypothesis be rejected when performing a test with a significance level of \(0.05 ?\) a. 0.001 d. 0.047 b. 0.021 e. 0.148 c. 0.078

A survey of 1,000 adult Americans ("Military Draft Study," AP-Ipsos, June 2005 ) included the following question: "If the military draft were reinstated, would you favor or oppose drafting women as well as men?" Forty-three percent responded that they would favor drafting women if the draft were reinstated. Using the five-step process for hypothesis testing \(\left(\mathrm{HMC}^{3}\right)\) and a 0.05 significance level, determine if there is convincing evidence that less than half of adult Americansp favor drafting women.

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