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Industrial filling process. The characteristics of an industrialfilling process in which an expensive liquid is injectedinto a container were investigated in the Journal of QualityTechnology(July 1999). The quantity injected per containeris approximately normally distributed with mean 10

units and standard deviation .2 units. Each unit of fill costs\(20 per unit. If a container contains less than 10 units (i.e.,is underfilled), it must be reprocessed at a cost of \)10. A properly filled container sells for $230.

a. Find the probability that a container is underfilled. Notunderfilled.

b. A container is initially underfilled and must be reprocessed.Upon refilling, it contains 10.60 units. Howmuch profit will the company make on thiscontainer?

c. The operations manager adjusts the mean of the fillingprocess upward to 10.60 units in order to makethe probability of underfilling approximately zero.

Under these conditions, what is the expected profit percontainer?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a.The underfilled probability is 0.5 and not underfilled probability is .5

b. The profit upon refilling the container is $8

c. The expected profit in each container is $18

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The quantity injected per container is approximately normally distributed with mean 10 units and standard deviation .2 units. Each unit of fill costs $20 per unit. If a container contains less than 10 units (i.e., is underfilled), it must be reprocessed at a cost of $10. A properly filled container sells for $230.

02

Finding the probability

Let x be the random variable follow normal distribution with mean 10 units and standard deviation 0.2 units.

x~N(10,0.2)

a.

The probability of underfill is given by,

role="math" localid="1660285516190" P(x<10)=Px-100.2<10-100.2=P(z<0)=0.50

The probability is 0.50

The probability of not underfill is given by,

P(x10)=Px-100.210-100.2=1-P(z<0)=1-0.50=0.50

Thus, the required probability is 0.50

03

Finding the profit

b.

The cost of each unit is $20

The reprocessed cost is $10

The selling cost is $230

The profit make the company upon refilling the container is,

profit=230-10-10.60×20=8

Thus, required the profit in refilling the container is 8$.

04

Finding expected profit

c.

The mean of filling process upward is 10.60 units. So,

Expectedprofit=230-10.60×20=18

Thus, the required he expected profit in each container is $18.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

4.126 Wear-out of used display panels.Wear-out failure time ofelectronic components is often assumed to have a normaldistribution. Can the normal distribution be applied to thewear-out of used manufactured products, such as coloreddisplay panels? A lot of 50 used display panels was purchasedby an outlet store. Each panel displays 12 to 18 colorcharacters. Prior to the acquisition, the panels had been usedfor about one-third of their expected lifetimes. The data inthe accompanying table (saved in the file) give the failuretimes (in years) of the 50 used panels. Use the techniquesof this section to determine whether the used panel wear-outtimes are approximately normally distributed.

0.01 1.21 1.71 2.30 2.96 0.19 1.22 1.75 2.30 2.98 0.51

1.24 1.77 2.41 3.19 0.57 1.48 1.79 2.44 3.25 0.70 1.54

1.88 2.57 3.31 0.73 1.59 1.90 2.61 1.19 0.75 1.61 1.93

2.62 3.50 0.75 1.61 2.01 2.72 3.50 1.11 1.62 2.16 2.76

3.50 1.16 1.62 2.18 2.84 3.50

Making high-stakes insurance decisions. The Journal of Economic Psychology (September 2008) published the results of a high-stakes experiment in which subjects were asked how much they would pay for insuring a valuable painting. The painting was threatened by fire and theft, hence, the need for insurance. To make the risk realistic, the subjects were informed that if it rained on exactly 24 days in July, the painting was considered to be stolen; if it rained on exactly 23 days in August, the painting was considered to be destroyed by fire. Although the probability of these two events, “fire” and “theft,” was ambiguous for the subjects, the researchers estimated their probabilities of occurrence at .0001. Rain frequencies for the months of July and August were shown to follow a Poisson distribution with a mean of 10 days per month.

a. Find the probability that it will rain on exactly 24 days in July.

b. Find the probability that it will rain on exactly 23 days in August.

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Shopping vehicle and judgment. Refer to the Journal of Marketing Research (December 2011) study of whether you are more likely to choose a vice product (e.g., a candy bar) when your arm is flexed (as when carrying a shopping basket) than when your arm is extended (as when pushing a shopping cart), Exercise 2.85 (p. 112). The study measured choice scores (on a scale of 0 to 100, where higher scores indicate a greater preference for vice options) for consumers shopping under each of the two conditions. Recall that the average choice score for consumers with a flexed arm was 59, while the average for consumers with an extended arm was 43. For both conditions, assume that the standard deviation of the choice scores is 5. Also, assume that both distributions are approximately normally distributed.

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Examine the sample data in the accompanying table.

5.9 5.3 1.6 7.4 8.6 1.2 2.1

4.0 7.3 8.4 8.9 6.7 4.5 6.3

7.6 9.7 3.5 1.1 4.3 3.3 8.4

1.6 8.2 6.5 1.1 5.0 9.4 6.4

a. Construct a stem-and-leaf plot to assess whether thedata are from an approximately normal distribution.

b. Compute sfor the sample data.

c. Find the values of QL and QU, then use these values andthe value of sfrom part b to assess whether the data comefrom an approximately normaldistribution.

d. Generate a normal probability plot for the data and useit to assess whether the data are approximately normal.

The random variable x has a normal distribution with μ=40and σ2=36. Find a value of x, call itx0, such that

a.P(xx0)=0.10

b.P(μxx0)=0.40

c.P(xx0)=0.05

d.P(xx0)=0.40

e.P(x0x<μ)=0.45

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