Chapter 3: Q96E (page 203)
For two events A and B, suppose ,,Find.
Short Answer
The value of is 0.8.
Chapter 3: Q96E (page 203)
For two events A and B, suppose ,,Find.
The value of is 0.8.
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Get started for freeUsing game simulation to teach a course. In Engineering Management Research (May 2012), a simulation game approach was proposed to teach concepts in a course on production. The proposed game simulation was for cola or television production. The products are two color television models, A and B. Each model comes in two colors, red and black. Also, the quantity ordered for each model can be 1, 2, or 3 televisions. The choice of model, color, and quantity is specified on a purchase order card.
a. Using a tree diagram, list how many different purchase order cards are possible. (These are the sample points for the experiment.)
b. Suppose, from past history, that black color TVs are in higher demand than red TVs. For planning purposes, should the engineer managing the production process assign equal probabilities to the simple events, part a? Why or why not?
Random shuffling of songs on Spotify. Spotify is a music streaming service that offers both free and subscription options. Users can create playlists and choose to use Spotify’s random shuffling feature to play back the songs. When the shuffling feature was first introduced, many users complained that the algorithm was not working. For example, in a playlist consisting of 2 songs by The White Stripes, 2 by Adele, and 1 by Maroon Five, two possible random orderings of the songs are:
A = {Adele 1, Adele 2, White Stripes 1, White Stripes 2, Maroon Five}
B = {Adele 2, White Stripes 1, Maroon Five, White Stripes 2, Adele 1}
Study of why EMS workers leave the job. An investigation into why emergency medical service (EMS) workers leave the profession was published in the Journal of Allied Health (Fall 2011). The researchers surveyed a sample of 244 former EMS workers, of which 127 were fully compensated while on the job, 45 were partially compensated, and 72 had no compensated volunteer positions. EMS workers who left because of retirement were 7 for fully compensated workers, 11 for partially compensated workers, and 10 for no compensated volunteers. One of the 244 former EMS workers is selected at random.
a. Find the probability that the former EMS worker was fully compensated while on the job.
b. Find the probability that the former EMS worker was fully compensated while on the job and left due to retirement.
c. Find the probability that the former EMS worker was not fully compensated while on the job.
d. Find the probability that the former EMS worker was either fully compensated while on the job or left due to retirement.
Guilt in decision making.Refer to the Journal of Behavioral Decision Making(January 2007) study of theeffect of guilt emotion on how a decision maker focuseson a problem, Exercise 3.48 (p. 183). The results (numberresponding in each category) for the 171 study participantsare reproduced in the table below. Suppose one of the 171participants is selected at random.
Emotional State | Choose Stated Option | Do Not Choose Stated Option | Totals |
Guilt Anger Neutral | 45 8 7 | 12 50 49 | 57 58 56 |
Totals | 60 | 111 | 171 |
a.Given that the respondent is assigned to the guilty state, what is the probability that the respondent chooses the stated option?
b.If the respondent does not choose to repair the car, what is the probability that the respondent is in the anger state?
c.Are the events {repair the car} and {guilty state }
independent?
Speeding linked to fatal car crashes. According to the National Highway Traffic and Safety Administration’s National Center for Statistics and Analysis (NCSA), “Speeding is one of the most prevalent factors contributing to fatal traffic crashes” (NHTSA Technical Report, August 2005). The probability that speeding is a cause of a fatal crash is .3. Furthermore, the probability that speeding and missing a curve are causes of a fatal crash is .12. Given speeding is a cause of a fatal crash, what is the probability that the crash occurred on a curve?
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