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Firefighters’ use of gas detection devices. Two deadly gasesthat can be present in fire smoke are hydrogen cyanide and carbon monoxide. Fire Engineering (March 2013) reported the results of a survey of 244 firefighters conducted by the Fire Smoke Coalition. The purpose of the survey was to assess the base level of knowledge of firefighters regarding the use of gas detection devices at the scene of a fire. The survey revealed the following: Eighty percent of firefighters had no standard operating procedures (SOP) for detecting/monitoring hydrogen cyanide in fire smoke; 49% had no SOP for detecting/monitoring carbon monoxide in fire smoke. Assume that 94% of firefighters had no SOP for detecting either hydrogen cyanide or carbon monoxide in fire smoke. What is the probability that a firefighter has no SOP for detecting hydrogen cyanide and no SOP for detecting carbon monoxide in fire smoke?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability is 0.35.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

According to the information,

A=No. SOP for detecting hydrogen cyanide in fire smoke.

B=No. SOP for detecting carbon monoxide in fire smoke.

PA=80%=0.8PB=49%=0.49PAorB=94%=0.94

The formula for probabilityPNumberoffavourableoutcomesTotalnumberofoutcomes.

The general addition rule for two eventsP(AorB)=P(A)+P(B)-P(AandB).

02

Find the probability

PA=80%=0.8PB=49%=0.49PAorB=PA+PB-PAandBPAandB=PA+PB-PAandB=0.8+0.49-0.94=0.35=35%

Therefore,the probability is 0.35

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Detecting traces of TNT.University of Florida researchersin the Department of Materials Science and Engineering have invented a technique to rapidly detect traces of TNT (Today, Spring 2005). The method, which involves shining a laser light on a potentially contaminated object, provides instantaneous results and gives no false positives. In this application, a false positive would occur if the laser light detects traces of TNT when, in fact, no TNT is actually present on the object. Let A be the event that the laser light detects traces of TNT. Let B be the event that the object contains no traces of TNT. The probability of a false positive is 0. Write this probability in terms of A and B using symbols such as,and |.

Chance of winning at “craps.” A version of the dice game“craps” is played in the following manner. A player starts by rolling two balanced dice. If the roll (the sum of the two numbers showing on the dice) results in a 7 or 11, the player wins. If the roll results in a 2 or a 3 (called craps), the player loses. For any other roll outcome, the player continues to throw the dice until the original roll outcome recurs (in which case the player wins) or until a 7 occurs

(in which case the player loses).

a. What is the probability that a player wins the game on the first roll of the dice?

b. What is the probability that a player loses the game on the first roll of the dice?

c. If the player throws a total of 4 on the first roll, what is the probability that the game ends (win or lose) on the next roll?

Characteristics of a new product. The long-run success of a business depends on its ability to market products with superior characteristics that maximize consumer satisfaction and that give the firm a competitive advantage (Kotler & Keller, Marketing Management, 2015). Ten new products have been developed by a food-products firm. Market research has indicated that the 10 products have the characteristics described by the following Venn diagram:

  1. Write the event that a product possesses all the desired characteristics as an intersection of the events defined in the Venn diagram. Which products are contained in this intersection?
  2. If one of the 10 products were selected at random to be marketed, what is the probability that it would possess all the desired characteristics?
  3. Write the event that the randomly selected product would give the firm a competitive advantage or would satisfy consumers as a union of the events defined in the Venn diagram. Find the probability of this union.
  4. Write the event that the randomly selected product would possess superior product characteristics and satisfy consumers. Find the probability of this intersection.
  5. Two of the 10 products will be selected for an ad campaign. How many different pairs of products are possible?

Patient medical instruction sheets. Physicians and pharmacists sometimes fail to inform patients adequately about the proper application of prescription drugs and about the precautions to take in order to avoid potential side effects. One method of increasing patients’ awareness of the problem is for physicians to provide patient medication instruction (PMI) sheets. The American Medical Association, however, has found that only 20% of the doctors who prescribe drugs frequently distribute PMI sheets to their patients. Assume that 20% of all patients receive the PMI sheet with their prescriptions and that 12% receive the PMI sheet and are hospitalized because of a drug-related problem. What is the probability that a person will be hospitalized for a drug-related problem given that the person received the PMI sheet?

Stock market participation and IQ.Refer to The Journal of Finance(December 2011) study of whether the decisionto invest in the stock market is dependent on IQ, Exercise3.46 (p. 182). The summary table giving the number ofthe 158,044 Finnish citizens in each IQ score/investment category is reproduced below. Again, suppose one of the citizens is selected at random.

IQ Score

Invest in Market

No Investment

Totals

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

893

1,340

2,009

5,358

8,484

10,270

6,698

5,135

4,464

4,659

9,409

9,993

19,682

24,640

21,673

11,260

7,010

5,067

5,552

10,749

12,002

25,040

33,124

31,943

17,958

12,145

9,531

Totals

44,651

113,393

158,044

Source:Based on M. Grinblatt, M. Keloharju, and J. Linnainaa, “IQ and Stock Market Participation,” The Journal of Finance, Vol. 66, No. 6, December 2011 (data from Table 1 and Figure 1).

a.Given that the Finnish citizen has an IQ score of 6 or higher, what is the probability that he/she invests in the stock market?

b.Given that the Finnish citizen has an IQ score of 5 or lower, what is the probability that he/she invests in the stock market?

c.Based on the results, parts a and b, does it appear that investing in the stock market is dependent on IQ? Explain.

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