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Monitoring quality of power equipment. Mechanical Engineering (February 2005) reported on the need for wireless networks to monitor the quality of industrial equipment. For example, consider Eaton Corp., a company that develops distribution products. Eaton estimates that 90% of the electrical switching devices it sells can monitor the quality of the power running through the device. Eaton further estimates that of the buyers of electrical switching devices capable of monitoring quality, 90% do not wire the equipment up for that purpose. Use this information to estimate the probability that an Eaton electrical switching device is capable of monitoring power quality and is wired up for that purpose.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability that an Eaton electrical switching device is capable of monitoring power quality and is wired up for that purpose is 0.09.

Step by step solution

01

Important formula

The formula for probability isP(Ac)=1-P(A).

02

The probability that an Eaton electrical switching device is capable of monitoring power quality and is wiredup for that purpose.

Here,PA=90%=0.9

PB|A=90%=0.9

Now, find the result, then,

P(BC|A)=1-P(BC|A)=1-0.9=0.1P(ABC)=P(BC|A)P(A)=(0.1)(0.9)=0.09

Therefore, the probability is 0.09.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Randomization in a study of TV commercials. Gonzaga University professors conducted a study of more than 1,500 television commercials and published their results in the Journal of Sociology, Social Work, and Social Welfare (Vol. 2, 2008). Commercials from eight networks—ABC, FAM, FOX, MTV, ESPN, CBS, CNN, and NBC—were sampled for 8 days, with one network randomly selected each day. The table below shows the actual order determined by random draw:

ABC—July 6 (Wed)

FAM—July 7 (Thr)

FOX—July 9 (Sat)

MTV—July 10 (Sun)

ESPN—July 11 (Mon)

CBS—July 12 (Tue)

CNN—July 16 (Sat)

NBC—July 17 (Sun)

a. What is the probability that ESPN was selected on Monday, July 11?

b. Consider the four networks chosen for the weekends (Saturday and Sunday). How many ways could the researchers select four networks from the eight for the weekend analysis of commercials? (Assume that the assignment order for the four weekend days was immaterial to the analysis.)

c. Knowing that the networks were selected at random, what is the probability that ESPN was one of the four networks selected for the weekend analysis of commercials?

Working on summer vacation.Refer to the Harris Interactive(July 2013) poll of whether U.S. adults workduring summer vacation, Exercise 3.13 (p. 169). Recall thatthe poll found that 61% of the respondents work duringtheir summer vacation, 22% do not work at all while onvacation, and 17% were unemployed. Also, 38% of thosewho work while on vacation do so by monitoring theirbusiness emails.

a.Given that a randomly selected poll respondent will work while on summer vacation, what is the probability that the respondent will monitor business emails?

b.What is the probability that a randomly selected poll respondent will work while on summer vacation and will monitor business emails?

c.What is the probability that a randomly selected poll respondent will not work while on summer vacation and will monitor business emails?

Blood diamonds.According to Global Research News(March 4, 2014), one-fourth of all rough diamonds producedin the world are blood diamonds. (Any diamond that is mined in a war zone—often by children—to finance a warlord’s activity, an insurgency, or an invading army’s effort is considered a blood diamond.) Also, 90% of the world’s rough diamonds are processed in Surat, India, and, of these diamonds one-third are blood diamonds.

a.Find the probability that a rough diamond is not a blood diamond.

b.Find the probability that a rough diamond is processed in Surat and is a blood diamond.

A number between 1 and 10, inclusive, is randomly chosen, and the events A and B are defined as follows:

A: [The number is even.]

B: [The number is less than 7.]

a. Identify the sample points in the event AB.

b. Identify the sample points in the event AB.

c. Which expression represents the event that the number is even or less than 7 or both?

d. Which expression represents the event that the number is both even and less than 7?

Fuzzy logic in supply chain management. A branch of mathematics known as fuzzy logic was used to improve customer service in supply chain management. (Decision Analytics, February 2014.) Customers rate the importance of one service factor relative to another using the following numerical scale: 1 = service factors are equally important, 3 = one factor is moderately more important, 5 = one factor is strongly more important, 7 = one factor is very strongly more important and 9 = one factor is extremely more important. Fuzzy numbers were developed to allow for variation in customer responses. For example, the fuzzy number 1∼represents an actual response of either 1 or 3; the fuzzy number 7∼represents a response of 5, 7, or 9. Consider the probabilities of the actual responses for each fuzzy number shown in the table.

Fuzzy Response

Probabilities of Actual Responses

1~

P(1)=2/3,P(3)=1/3

3~

P(1)=1/3,P(3)=1/3,P(5)=1/3

5~

P(3)=1/3,P(5)=1/3,P(7)=1/3

7~

P(5)=1/3,P(7)=1/3,P(9)=1/3

9~

P(7)=1/3,P(9)=2/3

a. If a customer gives a fuzzy response7~, what is the probability that the actual response is not a 7?

b. If both5~9~ represent a possible fuzzy response of a customer, what are the possible actual responses for this customer?

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