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Consider making an inference about p1-p2, where there are x1successes inn1binomial trials and x2successes inn2binomial trials.

a. Describe the distributions of x1and x2.

b. Explain why the Central Limit Theorem is important in finding an approximate distribution forp^1-p^2

Short Answer

Expert verified

b. The central limit theorem approximates the distribution without considering the population's original distribution.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

We have, for the first trial

The number of binomial trials is n1and x1there are successes

For the second trial

There are binomial trials n2, and there arex2 successes.

02

Definition of binomial trials

When we have a prefixed number of trials to get the desired number of successes with a fixed probability of success throughout the experiment, the process will be well executed by binomial probabilities.

03

Importance of the central limit theorem

The central limit theorem helps to find the approximate distribution for the sample mean when the sample size is large enough (at least 30) regardless of the original distribution.

Hereand can be viewed as means of the number of successes per trial in the respective samples.

Hence the distribution of can be approximated using the central limit theorem, as it represents the difference in the sample mean for the number of successes per trial.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Corporate sustainability of CPA firms. Refer to the Business and Society (March 2011) study on the sustainability behaviors of CPA corporations, Exercise 2.23 (p. 83). Recall that the level of support for corporate sustainability (measured on a quantitative scale ranging from 0 to 160 points) was obtained for each of 992 senior managers at CPA firms. The accompanying Minitab printout gives the mean and standard deviation for the level of support variable. It can be shown that level of support is approximately normally distributed.

a. Find the probability that the level of support for corporate sustainability of a randomly selected senior manager is less than 40 points.

b. Find the probability that the level of support for corporate sustainability of a randomly selected senior manager is between 40 and 120 points.

c. Find the probability that the level of support for corporate sustainability of a randomly selected senior manager is greater than 120 points.

d. One-fourth of the 992 senior managers indicated a level of support for corporate sustainability below what value?

Descriptive Statistics: Support

Variables

N

Mean

StDev

Variance

Minimum

Maximum

Range

Support

992

67.755

26.871

722.036

0.000

155.000

155.000

A random sample of size n = 121 yielded p^ = .88.

a. Is the sample size large enough to use the methods of this section to construct a confidence interval for p? Explain.

b. Construct a 90% confidence interval for p.

c. What assumption is necessary to ensure the validity of this confidence interval?

Question: Deferred tax allowance study. A study was conducted to identify accounting choice variables that influence a manager’s decision to change the level of the deferred tax asset allowance at the firm (The Engineering Economist, January/February 2004). Data were collected for a sample of 329 firms that reported deferred tax assets in 2000. The dependent variable of interest (DTVA) is measured as the change in the deferred tax asset valuation allowance divided by the deferred tax asset. The independent variables used as predictors of DTVA are listed as follows:

LEVERAGE: x1= ratio of debt book value to shareholder’s equity

BONUS: x2 = 1 if firm maintains a management bonus plan,

0 if not

MVALUE: x3 = market value of common stock

BBATH: x4 = 1 if operating earnings negative and lower than last year,

0 if not

EARN: x5 = change in operating earnings divided by total assets

A first-order model was fit to the data with the following results (p-values in parentheses):

Ra2 = .280

y^=0.044+0.006x1-0.035x2-0.001x3+0.296x4+0.010x5

(.070) (.228) (.157) (.678) (.001) (.869)

  1. Interpret the estimate of the β coefficient for x4.
  2. The “Big Bath” theory proposed by the researchers’ states that the mean DTVA for firms with negative earnings and earnings lower than last year will exceed the mean DTVA of other firms. Is there evidence to support this theory? Test using α = .05.
  3. Interpret the value of Ra2.

Drug content assessment. Refer to Exercise 8.16 (p. 467)and the Analytical Chemistry (Dec. 15, 2009) study in which scientists used high-performance liquid chromatography to determine the amount of drug in a tablet. Recall that 25 tablets were produced at each of two different, independent sites. The researchers want to determine if the two sites produced drug concentrations with different variances. A Minitab printout of the analysis follows. Locate the test statistic and p-value on the printout. Use these values α=.05and to conduct the appropriate test for the researchers.

Test and CI for two Variances: Content vs Site

Method

Null hypothesis α1α2=1

Alternative hypothesis α1α21

F method was used. This method is accurate for normal data only.

Statistics

Site N St Dev Variance 95% CI for St Devs

1 25 3.067 9.406 (2.195,4.267)

2 25 3.339 11.147 (2.607,4.645)

Ratio of standard deviation =0.191

Ratio of variances=0.844

95% Confidence Intervals

Method CI for St Dev Ratio CI Variance Ratio

F (0.610, 1.384) (0.372, 1.915)

Tests

Method DF1 DF2 Test statistic p-value

F 24 24 0.84 0.681

Assume that x is a binomial random variable with n = 1000 andp = 0.50. Use a normal approximation to find each of the following probabilities:

a. P(x>500)

b.P(490x<500)

c.P(x>550)

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