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A paired difference experiment produced the following results:

nd=38,x¯1=92,x¯2=95.5,d¯=-3.5,sd2=21

a. Determine the values zfor which the null hypothesis μ1μ2=0would be rejected in favor of the alternative hypothesis μ1μ2<0 Use .role="math" localid="1652704322912" α=.10

b. Conduct the paired difference test described in part a. Draw the appropriate conclusions.

c. What assumptions are necessary so that the paired difference test will be valid?

d. Find a90% confidence interval for the mean difference μd.

e. Which of the two inferential procedures, the confidence interval of part d or the test of the hypothesis of part b, provides more information about the differences between the population means?

Short Answer

Expert verified

A confidence interval is the set of numbers seen in our sample for which we anticipate discovering the number that best represents the populace.

Step by step solution

01

Step-by-Step Solution Step 1: (a) Determine the value of z for which the null hypothesis will be rejected

Null Hypothesis:H0:μ1μ2=0

Alternate Hypothesis:Ha:μ1μ2<0

The critical value for a left-tailed testα=0.1 is-1.28 .

If zdata<1.28then, reject the null hypothesis.

02

(b) Conduct the test

z=d¯0sd2nd=3.502138=3.50.7434=4.71

Therefore, the value of paired difference test is -4.71.

The null hypothesis will be rejected, and it can be concluded that Ha:μ1μ2<0.

03

(c) State the assumptions

  1. By Central Limit Theorem, the sampling distributiond¯ follows a normal distribution.
  2. The sample differences are randomly selected from the population differences.
  3. The sample size of the no. of pairs is large, which is more than 30.
04

(d) Find the confidence interval

Confidence interval =90%

Level of Significance (α)=0.10

Confidence Interval =d¯±zα/2sd2nd

=3.5±z0.052138=3.5±1.645(0.7434)=3.5±1.223=(4.723,2.277)

Therefore,90%the confidence interval for the mean difference μdis (4.723,2.277).

05

(e) State the conclusion

The confidence intervals tell us about the difference between population means of an interval for all possible values. So, it gives more information than the z-test.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Let t0 be a particular value of t. Use Table III in Appendix D to find t0 values such that the following statements are true.

a.=P(-t0<t<t0).95wheredf=10b.P(t-t0ortt0)wheredf=10c.P(tt0)=.05wheredf=10d.P(t-t0ortt0)=.10wheredf=20e.P(t-t0ortt0)=.01wheredf=5

Question: The speed with which consumers decide to purchase a product was investigated in the Journal of Consumer Research (August 2011). The researchers theorized that consumers with last names that begin with letters later in the alphabet will tend to acquire items faster than those whose last names begin with letters earlier in the alphabet—called the last name effect. MBA students were offered free tickets to an event for which there was a limitedsupply of tickets. The first letter of the last name of those who responded to an email offer in time to receive the tickets was noted as well as the response time (measured in minutes). The researchers compared the response times for two groups of MBA students: (1) those with last names beginning with one of the first nine letters of the alphabet and (2) those with last names beginning with one of the last nine letters of the alphabet. Summary statistics for the two groups are provided in the table.

First 9

Letters: A–I

Last 9

Letters: R–Z

Sample size

25

25

Mean response time (minutes)

25.08

19.38

Standard deviation (minutes)

10.41

7.12

Source: Based on K. A. Carlson and J. M. Conrad, “The Last Name Effect: How Last Name Influences Acquisition Timing,” Journal of Consumer Research, Vol. 38, No. 2, August 2011.

a. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the difference between the true mean response times for MBA students in the two groups.

b. Based on the interval, part a, which group has the shorter mean response time? Does this result support the researchers’ last name effect theory? Explain.

The data for a random sample of six paired observations are shown in the next table.

a. Calculate the difference between each pair of observations by subtracting observation two from observation 1. Use the differences to calculate d¯andsd2.

b. If μ1andμ2are the means of populations 1 and 2, respectively, expressed μdin terms of μ1andμ2.

PairSample from Population 1

(Observation 1)

Sample from Population 2(Observation 2)
123456739648417247

c. Form a 95% confidence interval for μd.

d. Test the null hypothesis H0d=0against the alternative hypothesis Had0. Useα=.05 .

Optimal goal target in soccer. When attempting to score a goal in soccer, where should you aim your shot? Should you aim for a goalpost (as some soccer coaches teach), the middle of the goal, or some other target? To answer these questions, Chance (Fall 2009) utilized the normal probability distribution. Suppose the accuracy x of a professional soccer player’s shots follows a normal distribution with a mean of 0 feet and a standard deviation of 3 feet. (For example, if the player hits his target,x=0; if he misses his target 2 feet to the right, x=2; and if he misses 1 foot to the left,x=-1.) Now, a regulation soccer goal is 24 feet wide. Assume that a goalkeeper will stop (save) all shots within 9 feet of where he is standing; all other shots on goal will score. Consider a goalkeeper who stands in the middle of the goal.

a. If the player aims for the right goalpost, what is the probability that he will score?

b. If the player aims for the center of the goal, what is the probability that he will score?

c. If the player aims for halfway between the right goal post and the outer limit of the goalkeeper’s reach, what is the probability that he will score?

Question: Summer weight-loss camp. Camp Jump Start is an 8-week summer camp for overweight and obese adolescents. Counselors develop a weight-management program for each camper that centers on nutrition education and physical activity. To justify the cost of the camp, counselors must provide empirical evidence that the weight-management program is effective. In a study published in Paediatrics (April 2010), the body mass index (BMI) was measured for each of 76 campers both at the start and end of camp. Summary statistics on BMI measurements are shown in the table.

Source: Based on J. Huelsing, N. Kanafani, J. Mao, and N. H. White, "Camp Jump Start: Effects of a Residential Summer Weight-Loss Camp for Older Children and Adolescents," Pediatrics, Vol. 125, No. 4, April 2010 (Table 3).

a. Give the null and alternative hypotheses for determining whether the mean BMI at the end of camp is less than the mean BMI at the start of camp.

b. How should the data be analyzed, as an independent samples test or as a paired difference test? Explain.

c. Calculate the test statistic using the formula for an independent samples test. (Note: This is not how the test should be conducted.)

d. Calculate the test statistic using the formula for a paired difference test.

e. Compare the test statistics, parts c and d. Which test statistic provides more evidence in support of the alternative hypothesis?

f. The p-value of the test, part d, was reported as p 6 .0001. Interpret this result, assuming a = .01.

g. Do the differences in BMI values need to be normally distributed in order for the inference, part f, to be valid? Explain.

h. Find a 99% confidence interval for the true mean change in BMI for Camp Jump Start campers. Interpret the result.

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