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Arsenic is a known carcinogen and poison. The standard laboratory procedures for measuring arsenic \(concentration (\mu g/L)\) in water are expensive. Consider the accompanying summary data and Minitab output for comparing a laboratory method to a new relatively quick and inexpensive field method (from the article "Evaluation of a New Field Measurement Method for Arsenic in Drinking Water Samples," J. of Emvir. Engr., 2008: 382-388).

Two-Sample T-Test and CI

Sample N Mean StDev SE Mean

1 3 19.70 1.10 0.65

2 3 10.90 0.60 0.35

Estimate for difference: 8.800

95% CI for difference: 6.498,11.102

T -Test of difference =0 (vs not = ):

T -Value =12.1 P -Value =0.001 DF=3

What conclusion do you draw about the two methods, and why? Interpret the given confidence interval. (Note: One of the article's authors indicated in private communication that they were unsure why the two methods disagreed.)

Short Answer

Expert verified

Both methods lead to the same conclusion: There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the population means are not equal.

Step by step solution

01

To find the  accompanying summary data and Minitab output for comparing a laboratory method to a new relatively quick and inexpensive field method

The difference of the two means was tested here using two-sample t test. The given output suggests that the two methods differ. The hypotheses tested here are \({H_0}:{\mu _1} - {\mu _2} = 0 {\rm{versus}} {H_0}:{\mu _1} - {\mu _2} \ne 0 ,{\rm{where}} {\mu _1},{\mu _2}\) are the true averages of method 1 and 2 , respectively.

The conclusion to reject null hypothesis comes from the fact that

\(P = 0.001 < 0.01 = \alpha \) or any other significance level.

The given confidence interval does not include zero, thus the difference to be zero is highly unlikely.

The methods differ; Confidence interval indicates that it is highly unlikely for difference to be zero.

02

Explanation B:Step 1: To find the  accompanying summary data and Minitab output for comparing a laboratory method to a new relatively quick and inexpensive field method

TWO-SAMPLE T-TEST

Given in the output:

\(\begin{array}{c}{H_0}:{\mu _1} - {\mu _2} = 0\\{H_0}:{\mu _1} - {\mu _2} \ne 0\\ t = 12.16\\P = 0.001\\ df = 3\end{array}\)

Let us assume:\(\alpha = 0.05.\)

If the P-value is less than the significance level, reject the null hypothesis. \(P < 0.05 \Rightarrow Reject {H_0}\)

There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the population means are not equal.

03

To find the accompanying summary data and Minitab output for comparing a laboratory method to a new relatively quick and inexpensive field method

Two sample confidence interval:

Given in the output:\((6.498,11.102)\)

The confidence interval does not contain 0, which indicates that the difference of the population means is not zero and thus the population means appear to be not equal.

We can then conclude: There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the population means are not equal.

We then note that both methods lead to the same conclusion.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Torsion during hip external rotation (ER) and extension may be responsible for certain kinds of injuries in golfers and other athletes. The article "Hip Rotational Velocities During the Full Golf Swing" (J. of Sports Science and Medicine, 2009: 296-299) reported on a study in which peak ER velocity and peak IR (internal rotation) velocity (both in deg.sec\(^{ - 1}\)) were determined for a sample of 15 female collegiate golfers during their swings. The following data was supplied by the article's authors.

\(\begin{aligned}{*{20}{r}}{ Golfer }&{ \backslash multicolumn1c ER }&{ IR }&{ \backslash multicolumn1c diff }&{z perc }\\1&{ - 130.6}&{ - 98.9}&{ - 31.7}&{ - 1.28}\\2&{ - 125.1}&{ - 115.9}&{ - 9.2}&{ - 0.97}\\3&{ - 51.7}&{ - 161.6}&{109.9}&{0.34}\\4&{ - 179.7}&{ - 196.9}&{17.2}&{ - 0.73}\\5&{ - 130.5}&{ - 170.7}&{40.2}&{ - 0.34}\\6&{ - 101.0}&{ - 274.9}&{173.9}&{0.97}\\7&{ - 24.4}&{ - 275.0}&{250.6}&{1.83}\\8&{ - 231.1}&{ - 275.7}&{44.6}&{ - 0.17}\\9&{ - 186.8}&{ - 214.6}&{27.8}&{ - 0.52}\\{10}&{ - 58.5}&{ - 117.8}&{59.3}&{0.00}\\{11}&{ - 219.3}&{ - 326.7}&{107.4}&{0.17}\\{12}&{ - 113.1}&{ - 272.9}&{159.8}&{0.73}\\{13}&{ - 244.3}&{ - 429.1}&{184.8}&{1.28}\\{14}&{ - 184.4}&{ - 140.6}&{ - 43.8}&{ - 1.83}\\{15}&{ - 199.2}&{ - 345.6}&{146.4}&{0.52}\\{}&{}&{}&{}&{}\end{aligned}\)

a. Is it plausible that the differences came from a normally distributed population?

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c. The article stated that " The lead hip peak IR velocity was significantly greater than the trail hip ER velocity\(\;\left( {p = 0.003, t value = 3.65} \right)\). "$ (The phrasing suggests that an upper-tailed test was used.) Is that in fact the case? (Note: "\(p = .033 \)in Table 2 of the article is erroneous.)

The degenerative disease osteoarthritis most frequently affects weight-bearing joints such as the knee. The article "Evidence of Mechanical Load Redistribution at the Knee Joint in the Elderly When Ascending Stairs and Ramps" (Annals of Biomed. Engr., \(2008: 467 - 476\)) presented the following summary data on stance duration (ms) for samples of both older and younger adults.

\(\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{Age\;\;\;\;\;\;\;Sample Size\;\;Sample Mean\;\;Sample SD}\\{\;Older\;\;\;\;\;28\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;801\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;117}\\{Younger\;16\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;780\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;\;72}\end{array}\)

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Toxaphene is an insecticide that has been identified as a pollutant in the Great Lakes ecosystem. To investigate the effect of toxaphene exposure on animals, groups of rats were given toxaphene in their diet. The article "Reproduction Study of Toxaphene in the Rat" ( J. of Environ. Sci. Health, 1988: 101-126) reports weight gains (in grams) for rats given a low dose (4 ppm) and for control rats whose diet did not include the insecticide. The sample standard deviation for 23 female control rats was \(32\;g\) and for 20 female low-dose rats was\(54\;g\). Does this data suggest that there is more variability in low-dose weight gains than in control weight gains? Assuming normality, carry out a test of hypotheses at significance level .05.

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b. For the case of equal sample sizes \(\left( {m = n} \right)\)and fixed \(\alpha \),what happens to the necessary sample size \(n\) as \(\beta \) is decreased, where \(\beta \) is the desired type II error probability at a fixed alternative?

Which way of dispensing champagne, the traditional vertical method or a tilted beer-like pour,preserves more of the tiny gas bubbles that improve flavor and aroma? The following data was reported in the article โ€œOn the Losses of Dissolved \(C{O_2}\) during Champagne Servingโ€ (J. Agr. Food Chem., 2010: 8768โ€“8775)

\(\begin{array}{*{20}{c}}{ Temp \left( {^^\circ C} \right)}&{ Type of Pour }&n&{ Mean (g/L)}&{ SD }\\{18}&{ Traditional }&4&{4.0}&{.5}\\{18}&{ Slanted }&4&{3.7}&{.3}\\{12}&{ Traditional }&4&{3.3}&{.2}\\{12}&{ Slanted }&4&{2.0}&{.3}\\{}&{}&{}&{}&{}\end{array}\)

Assume that the sampled distributions are normal.

a. Carry out a test at significance level \(.01\) to decide whether true average\(C{O_2}\)loss at \(1{8^o}C\) for the traditional pour differs from that for the slanted pour.

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