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The article "Fatigue Testing of Condoms" cited in Exercise 7.32 reported that for a sample of 20 natural latex condoms of a certain type, the sample mean and sample standard deviation of the number of cycles to break were 4358 and 2218 , respectively, whereas a sample of 20 polyisoprene condoms gave a sample mean and sample standard deviation of 5805 and 3990 , respectively. Is there strong evidence for concluding that true average number of cycles to break for the polyisoprene condom exceeds that for the natural latex condom by more than 1000 cycles? Carry out a test using a significance level of 01 . (Note: The cited paper reported P-values of t tests for comparing means of the various types considered.)

Short Answer

Expert verified

Do not reject null hypothesis

Step by step solution

01

To find the strong evidence for concluding that true average number of cycles to break for the polyisoprene condom exceeds that for the natural latex condom by more than 1000 cycles

Given two normal distributions, the random variable (standardized)

\(T = \frac{{\bar X - \bar Y - \left( {{\mu _1} - {\mu _2}} \right)}}{{\sqrt {\frac{{S_1^2}}{m} + \frac{{S_2^2}}{n}} }}\)

has approximately students t distribution with degrees of freedom\(\nu \), where\(\nu \)is

\(\nu = \frac{{{{\left( {\frac{{s_1^2}}{m} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{n}} \right)}^2}}}{{\frac{{{{\left( {s_1^2/m} \right)}^2}}}{{m - 1}} + \frac{{{{\left( {s_2^2/n} \right)}^2}}}{{n - 1}}}}\)

has to be rounded down to the nearest integer.

By replacing\({z_{\alpha /2}} by {z_\alpha }\) and\( \pm \) with only\( + and - \)an upper/lower bound is obtained.

The two-sample t test for testing\({H_0}:{\mu _1} - {\mu _2} = {\Delta _0}\) uses the following value of test statistic

\(t = \frac{{\bar x - \bar y - {\Delta _0}}}{{\sqrt {\frac{{s_1^2}}{m} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{n}} }}\)

For the adequate alternative hypothesis the adequate area under the \({t_\nu }\) curve is the P value.

02

To find the strong evidence for concluding that true average number of cycles to break for the polyisoprene condom exceeds that for the natural latex condom by more than 1000 cycles

The hypotheses of interest are\({H_0}:{\mu _1} - {\mu _2} = 1000\) versus\({H_a}:{\mu _1} - {\mu _2} > 1000\), where\({\mu _1},and {\mu _2}\) are the true mean of cycles to break for polyisprene and the true mean for natural latex condoms, respectively. For given values

\(\begin{array}{l}\bar x = 5805;{s_1} = 3990;m = 20 \\\bar y = 4358;{s_2} = 2218;n = 20.\end{array}\)

The t statistic value is

\(t = \frac{{\bar x - \bar y - {\Delta _0}}}{{\sqrt {\frac{{s_1^2}}{m} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{n}} }} = \frac{{5805 - 4358 - 1000}}{{\sqrt {\frac{{399{0^2}}}{{20}} + \frac{{221{8^2}}}{{20}}} }} = 0.438\)

To compute the P value, you need to compute the degrees of freedom first

\(\nu = \frac{{{{\left( {\frac{{s_1^2}}{m} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{n}} \right)}^2}}}{{\frac{{{{\left( {s_1^2/m} \right)}^2}}}{{m - 1}} + \frac{{{{\left( {s_2^2/n} \right)}^2}}}{{n - 1}}}} = \frac{{{{\left( {\frac{{399{0^2}}}{{20}} + \frac{{221{8^2}}}{{20}}} \right)}^2}}}{{\frac{{{{\left( {399{0^2}/20} \right)}^2}}}{{19}} + \frac{{{{\left( {221{8^2}/20} \right)}^2}}}{{19}}}} = 29.72\)

and the nearest round down integer is 29 , thus

\(\nu = 29.\)

03

To find the strong evidence for concluding that true average number of cycles to break for the polyisoprene condom exceeds that for the natural latex condom by more than 1000 cycles

The alternative hypothesis is\({H_a}:{\mu _1} - {\mu _2} > 0\), this the P value is the area under the\({t_{29}}\)curve to the right of t. Thus

\(P = P(T > 0.438) = 0.332\)

where T is the students statistic with 29 degrees of freedom, and the value was computed by a software (you could have taken the approximate value from the table - estimate it).

The P value is

\(P = 0.332 > 0.01 = \alpha \)

Thus

do not reject null hypothesis

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In medical investigations, the ratio \(\theta = {p_1}/{p_2}\)is often of more interest than the difference \({p_1} - {p_2}\)(e.g., individuals given treatment 1 are how many times as likely to recover as those given treatment\(2?)\). Let\(\hat \theta = {\hat p_1}/{\hat p_2}\). When \(m\)and n are both large, the statistic \(ln(\theta )\)has approximately a normal distribution with approximate mean value \(ln(\theta )\)and approximate standard deviation \({[(m - x)/(mx) + (n - y)/(ny)]^{1/2}}.\)

  1. Use these facts to obtain a large-sample 95 % CI formula for estimating\(ln(\theta )\), and then a CI for \(\theta \)itself.
  2. Return to the heart-attack data of Example 1.3, and calculate an interval of plausible values for \(\theta \)at the 95 % confidence level. What does this interval suggest about the efficacy of the aspirin treatment?

An experimenter wishes to obtain a CI for the difference between true average breaking strength for cables manufactured by company I and by company II. Suppose breaking strength is normally distributed for both types of cable with s1 5 30 psi and s2 5 20 psi.

  1. If costs dictate that the sample size for the type I cable should be three times the sample size for the type II cable, how many observations are required if the 99% CI is to be no wider than 20 psi?
  2. Suppose a total of 400 observations is to be made. How many of the observations should be made on type I cable samples if the width of the resulting interval is to be a minimum?

Reconsider the data of Example \(9.6\), and calculate a \(95\% \)upper confidence bound for the ratio of the standard deviation of the triacetate porosity distribution to that of the cotton porosity distribution.

A study was carried out to compare two different methods, injection and nasal spray, for administering flu vaccine to children under the age of 5. All 8000 children in the study were given both an injection and a spray. However, the vaccine given to 4000 of the children actually contained just saltwater, and the spray given to the other 4000 children also contained just saltwater. At the end of the flu season, it was determined that 3.9% of the children who received the real vaccine via nasal spray contracted the flu, whereas 8.6% of the 4000 children receiving the real vaccine via injection contracted the flu.

(a). Why do you think each child received both an injection and a spray?

(b). Does one method for delivering the vaccine appear to be superior to the other? Test the appropriate hypotheses. [Note: The study was described in the article โ€œSpray Flu Vaccine May Work Better Than Injections for Tots,โ€ San Luis Obispo Tribune, May 2, 2006..

Consider the pooled\(t\)variable

\(T = \frac{{(\bar X - \bar Y) - \left( {{\mu _1} - {\mu _2}} \right)}}{{{S_p}\sqrt {\frac{1}{m} + \frac{1}{n}} }}\)

which has a\(t\)distribution with\(m + n - 2\)df when both population distributions are normal with\({\sigma _1} = {\sigma _2}\)(see the Pooled\(t\)Procedures subsection for a description of\({S_p}\)).

a. Use this\(t\)variable to obtain a pooled\(t\)confidence interval formula for\({\mu _1} - {\mu _2}\).

b. A sample of ultrasonic humidifiers of one particular brand was selected for which the observations on maximum output of moisture (oz) in a controlled chamber were\(14.0, 14.3, 12.2\), and 15.1. A sample of the second brand gave output values\(12.1, 13.6\),\(11.9\), and\(11.2\)("Multiple Comparisons of Means Using Simultaneous Confidence Intervals," J. of Quality Technology, \(1989: 232 - 241\)). Use the pooled\(t\)formula from part (a) to estimate the difference between true average outputs for the two brands with a\(95\% \)confidence interval.

c. Estimate the difference between the two\(\mu \)'s using the two-sample\(t\)interval discussed in this section, and compare it to the interval of part (b).

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