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Suppose that X1,……,Xn form a random sample from a normal distribution for which the mean is known and the variance is unknown. Construct an efficient estimator that is not identically equal to a constant, and determine the expectation and the variance of this estimator.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The expectations and variance of the estimator is E (x̄n) = µ, Var (x̄n) = σ2 /n

Step by step solution

01

Given the information

It is given that X1,….,Xn is ii d variable from a normal distribution with known mean µ and unknown variance. Therefore X1,….,Xn are ii d Normal (µ , σ)

02

Define the pdf

f(x| µ, σ ) = 1/√ 2πσ2) exp(- 1/2 ((x - µ)/σ)2)

03

Define an efficient estimator

The most efficient estimator among a group of unbiased estimators is the one with the minor variance.

An efficient estimator also fetches a slight variance or mean square error. Therefore, there is a slight deviation between the estimated and parameter values.

04

Define fisher information

So, to establish efficiency, they have to compare the estimator's variance with the Cramer-Rao bound.

Assume X~ f (x| θ) (pdf or pmf) with θ ∈ ʘ ⊂ R

Then the fisher information is defined by

Ix(θ) = Eθ[(∂ / ∂θ logf(X|θ))2]

= Eθ[(-∂2 / ∂θ logf(X|θ)]

And

Ix(θ) = nlx1 (θ)

05

Calculating fisher information for normal distribution

Let X =X1

From the definition

Ix(σ) = Eθ[(∂2 / ∂ σ2 logf(X|σ)]

= -3(x-µ)2/ σ4 + 1/σ2

= 2/ σ2

Ix2) = nIX12)

= 2n/ σ2

Therefore, the fisher information is 2n/ σ2

Therefore 1/l (σ) = σ2/ 2n

06

Applying CRLB bound

Now, by the Cramer Rao bound

V (σ)≥ Ix2)-1= n/2σ2

Since the lowest bound of variance is attained by CRLB equality, the M.L.E. X̄n is the most efficient estimator of µ.

07

Calculating the expectation and variance

The expectations and variance of the estimator is E (x̄n) = µ, Var (x̄n) = σ2 /n

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Most popular questions from this chapter

For the conditions of Exercise 5, use the central limit theorem in Sec. 6.3 to find approximately the size of a random sample that must be taken so that \(P\left( {{\bf{|}}{{{\bf{\bar X}}}_{\bf{n}}} - {\bf{p|}}} \right) \ge 0.95\) whenp=0.2.

LetX1, . . . , Xnbe a random sample from the exponential distribution with parameterθ. Find the c.d.f. for the sampling distribution of the M.L.E. ofθ. (The M.L.E. itself was found in Exercise 7 in Sec. 7.5.)

Suppose that \({X_1},...,{X_n}\) form a random sample from the exponential distribution with unknown mean μ. Describe a method for constructing a confidence interval for μ with a specified confidence coefficient \(\gamma \left( {0 < \gamma < 1} \right)\)

Suppose that\({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{,}}...{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{n}}}\)form a random sample from a distribution for which the p.d.f. is as follows:

\({\bf{f}}\left( {{\bf{x}}\left| {\bf{\theta }} \right.} \right){\bf{ = }}\left\{ {\begin{align}{}{{\bf{\theta }}{{\bf{x}}^{{\bf{\theta - 1}}}}}&{{\bf{for}}\,\,{\bf{0 < x < 1,}}}\\{\bf{0}}&{{\bf{otherwise,}}}\end{align}} \right.\)

where the value of θ is unknown (θ > 0). Determine the asymptotic distribution of the M.L.E. of θ. (Note: The M.L.E. was found in Exercise 9 of Sec. 7.5.)

The study on acid concentration in cheese included a total of 30 lactic acid measurements, the 10 given in Example 8.5.4 on page 487 and the following additional 20:

1.68, 1.9, 1.06, 1.3, 1.52, 1.74, 1.16, 1.49, 1.63, 1.99, 1.15, 1.33, 1.44, 2.01, 1.31, 1.46, 1.72, 1.25, 1.08, 1.25.

a. Using the same prior as in Example 8.6.2 on page 498, compute the posterior distribution of \({\bf{\mu }}\,\,{\bf{and}}\,\,{\bf{\tau }}\) based on all 30 observations.

b. Use the posterior distribution found in Example 8.6.2 on page 498 as if it were the prior distribution before observing the 20 observations listed in this problem. Use these 20 new observations to find the posterior distribution of \({\bf{\mu }}\,\,{\bf{and}}\,\,{\bf{\tau }}\)and compare the result to the answer to part (a).

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