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The unique stationary distribution in Exercise 9 is \({\bf{v = }}\left( {{\bf{0,1,0,0}}} \right)\). This is an instance of the following general result: Suppose that a Markov chain has exactly one absorbing state. Suppose further that, for each non-absorbing state \({\bf{k}}\), there is \({\bf{n}}\) such that the probability is positive of moving from state \({\bf{k}}\) to the absorbing state in \({\bf{n}}\) steps. Then the unique stationary distribution has probability 1 in the absorbing state. Prove this result.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Proved.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Referring to exercise 9, the unique stationery distribution is \(v = \left( {0,1,0,0} \right)\),

02

Proving part

It is to be known that, the 2-step transition matrix that it is possible to get from every non-absorbing state into each of the absorbing states in two steps.

So, no matter what the non-absorbing state is the probability is one that will eventually end up in one absorbing state.

No distribution with a positive probability on any non-absorbing state can be stationary distribution.

All probability in non-absorbing states eventually moves into the absorbing states after sufficiently many transitions.

Hence, proved.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Question:LetYbe the rate (calls per hour) at which calls arrive at a switchboard. LetXbe the number of calls during at wo-hour period. A popular choice of joint p.f./p.d.f. for(X, Y )in this example would be one like

\({\bf{f}}\left( {{\bf{x,y}}} \right){\bf{ = }}\left\{ \begin{array}{l}\frac{{{{\left( {{\bf{2y}}} \right)}^{\bf{x}}}}}{{{\bf{x!}}}}{{\bf{e}}^{{\bf{ - 3y}}}}\;{\bf{if}}\;{\bf{y > 0}}\;{\bf{and}}\;{\bf{x = 0,1, \ldots }}\\{\bf{0}}\;{\bf{otherwise}}\end{array} \right.\)

a. Verify thatfis a joint p.f./p.d.f. Hint:First, sum overthexvalues using the well-known formula for thepower series expansion of\({{\bf{e}}^{{\bf{2y}}}}\).

b. Find Pr(X=0).

Consider the Markov chain in Example 3.10.2 with initial

probability vector \(v = \left( {\frac{1}{2},\frac{1}{2}} \right)\) Where \(p = \left[ {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}}{\frac{1}{3}}&{\frac{2}{3}}\\{\frac{1}{3}}&{\frac{1}{3}}\end{array}} \right]\)

a.Find the probability vector specifying the probabilities

of the states at timen=2.

b.Find the two-step transition matrix

For the conditions of Exercise 9, determine the value of \({\bf{Pr}}\left( {{{\bf{Y}}_{\bf{1}}} \le {\bf{0}}{\bf{.1}}\;{\bf{and}}\;{\bf{Y}}_{\bf{n}}^{} \ge {\bf{0}}{\bf{.8}}} \right)\).

Each student in a certain high school was classified according to her year in school (freshman, sophomore, junior, or senior) and according to the number of times that she had visited a certain museum (never, once, or more than once). The proportions of students in the various classifications are given in the following table:

Never once More than once

than once

Freshmen 0.08 0.10 0.04

Sophomores 0.04 0.10 0.04

Juniors 0.04 0.20 0.09

Seniors 0.02 0.15 0.10

a. If a student selected at random from the high school is a junior, what is the probability that she has never visited the museum?

b. If a student selected at random from the high school has visited the museum three times, what is the probability that she is a senior?

Suppose that the p.d.f. of X is as given in Exercise 3. Determine the p.d.f. of\(Y = 4 - {X^3}\)

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