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Return to the situation described in Example 3.7.18. Let\(x = \left( {{x_1},.....,{x_5}} \right)\)and compute the conditional pdf of Z given X = x directly in one step, as if all of X were observed at the same time.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The conditional probability \(x = \left( {{x_1},.....,{x_5}} \right)\) is \(\frac{1}{{120}}{\left( {2 + {x_1} + .... + {x_5}} \right)^6}{z^5}{e^{ - z\left( {2 + {x_1} + ... + {x_5}} \right)}}\)

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Z be the random variable for which pdf,\({f_0}\) is as follows:

\({f_0}\left( z \right) = \left\{ \begin{align}2{e^{ - 2z}}\,\,\,\,\,for\,z > 0\\0\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,otherwise\end{align} \right.\)

02

Compute the probability

Suppose there are five observations \(x = \left( {{x_1},.....,{x_5}} \right)\)and all are conditionally i.i.d.

\(Z = z\) with pdf \(g\left( {x|z} \right)\).

We will use the conditional version of the Bayes theorem to compute the conditional pdf of Z given\(\left( {{X_1},.....,{X_5}} \right) = \left( {{x_1},....{x_5}} \right)\)

Conditional pdf \({g_{345}}\left( {{x_3},{x_{4,}}{x_5}|{x_{1,}}{x_{2,z}}} \right)\)of\(\)\(Y = \left( {{x_3},{x_{4,}}{x_5}} \right)\)given Z=z and\(W = \left( {{x_1},{x_2}} \right)\)

Hence,

\(\begin{align}{g_1}\left( {y|z,w} \right) &= g\left( {{x_3}|z} \right)g\left( {{x_4}|z} \right)g\left( {{x_5}|z} \right)\\ &= {z^3}{e^{ - z\left( {{x_3} + {x_4} + {x_5}} \right)}}\end{align}\)

The conditional pdf is

\({f_2}\left( {z|w} \right) = \frac{1}{2}{\left( {2 + {x_1} + {x_2}} \right)^3}{z^2}{e^{ - z\left( {2 + {x_1} + {x_2}} \right)}}\)

The conditional pdf for the last two observations given the first two is

\({f_1}\left( {y|w} \right) = \frac{{60{{\left( {2 + {x_1} + {x_2}} \right)}^3}}}{{{{\left( {2 + {x_1} + {x_2} + ...{x_5}} \right)}^6}}}\)

Hence for all observations, the conditional probability is

\(\begin{align}{g_2}\left( {z|y,w} \right) &= \frac{{{z^3}{e^{ - z\left( {{x_3} + {x_4} + {x_5}} \right)}}\frac{1}{2}{{\left( {2 + {x_1} + {x_2}} \right)}^3}{z^2}{e^{ - z\left( {2 + {x_1} + {x_2}} \right)}}}}{{\frac{{60{{\left( {2 + {x_1} + {x_2}} \right)}^3}}}{{{{\left( {2 + {x_1} + ... + {x_5}} \right)}^6}}}}}\\ &= \frac{1}{{120}}{\left( {2 + {x_1} + .... + {x_5}} \right)^6}{z^5}{e^{ - z\left( {2 + {x_1} + ... + {x_5}} \right)}}\end{align}\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose that the joint p.d.f. of two points X and Y chosen by the process described in Example 3.6.10 is as given by Eq. (3.6.15). Determine (a) the conditional p.d.f.of X for every given value of Y , and (b)\({\rm P}\left( {X > \frac{1}{2}|Y = \frac{3}{4}} \right)\)

Suppose that three random variables X1, X2, and X3 have a continuous joint distribution with the following joint p.d.f.:

\({\bf{f}}\left( {{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{,}}{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{2}}}{\bf{,}}{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{3}}}} \right){\bf{ = }}\left\{ {\begin{align}{}{{\bf{c}}\left( {{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{ + 2}}{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{2}}}{\bf{ + 3}}{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{3}}}} \right)}&{{\bf{for0}} \le {{\bf{x}}_{\bf{i}}} \le {\bf{1}}\,\,\left( {{\bf{i = 1,2,3}}} \right)}\\{\bf{0}}&{{\bf{otherwise}}{\bf{.}}}\end{align}} \right.\)

Determine\(\left( {\bf{a}} \right)\)the value of the constant c;

\(\left( {\bf{b}} \right)\)the marginal joint p.d.f. of\({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}}\)and\({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{3}}}\); and

\(\left( {\bf{c}} \right)\)\({\bf{Pr}}\left( {{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{3}}}{\bf{ < }}\frac{{\bf{1}}}{{\bf{2}}}\left| {{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{ = }}\frac{{\bf{1}}}{{\bf{4}}}{\bf{,}}{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{2}}}{\bf{ = }}\frac{{\bf{3}}}{{\bf{4}}}} \right.} \right){\bf{.}}\)

Suppose that\({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}}\)and\({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{2}}}\)are i.i.d. random variables, and that each has the uniform distribution on the interval[0,1]. Evaluate\({\bf{P}}\left( {{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}}^{\bf{2}}{\bf{ + }}{{\bf{X}}_{\bf{2}}}^{\bf{2}} \le {\bf{1}}} \right)\)

Question:Suppose that two random variables X and Y have the joint p.d.f.\(f\left( {x,y} \right) = \left\{ \begin{array}{l}k{x^2}{y^2}\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,for\,{x^2} + {y^2} \le 1\\0\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,otherwise\end{array} \right.\). Compute the conditional p.d.f. of X given

Y = y for each y.

Suppose that the p.d.f. of a random variableXis as follows:

\(f\left( x \right) = \left\{ \begin{array}{l}\frac{1}{8}x\;\;for\;0 \le x \le 4\\0\;\;\;\;otherwise\end{array} \right.\)

a. Find the value oftsuch that Pr(Xโ‰คt)=1/4.

b. Find the value oftsuch that Pr(Xโ‰ฅt)=1/2.

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