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If a fair coin is successively flipped, find the probability that a head first appears on the fifth trial.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that a head first appears on the fifth trial is \( \frac{1}{32} \).

Step by step solution

01

Determine the probability of each flip outcome

Since the coin is fair, the probability of getting a head (H) or a tail (T) on any single flip is equal: - P(H) = 1/2 - P(T) = 1/2
02

Determine the specific sequence of outcomes for the problem

We are looking for the probability of getting a head first appears on the fifth trial, so the sequence of outcomes we are considering is: TTTT H
03

Calculate the probability of the specific sequence

Since the coin flips are independent events, we can find the probability of this specific sequence by multiplying the probabilities of each outcome in the sequence: P(TTTT H) = P(T) * P(T) * P(T) * P(T) * P(H)
04

Plug in the probabilities for each outcome

Substitute the probability for each outcome found in Step 1: P(TTTT H) = (1/2) * (1/2) * (1/2) * (1/2) * (1/2)
05

Calculate the final probability

Multiply the probabilities together: P(TTTT H) = \( \frac{1}{32} \) So, the probability that a head first appears on the fifth trial is 1/32.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Let \(X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots, X_{10}\) be independent Poisson random variables with mean \(1 .\) (a) Use the Markov inequality to get a bound on \(P\left\\{X_{1}+\cdots+X_{10} \geq 15\right\\}\). (b) Use the central limit theorem to approximate \(P\left(X_{1}+\cdots+X_{10} \geq 15\right\\}\).

Let \(X_{1}, X_{2}, X_{3}\), and \(X_{4}\) be independent continuous random variables with a common distribution function \(F\) and let $$ p=P\left\\{X_{1}X_{3}

If \(X\) is a nonnegative integer valued random variable, show that (a) $$ E[X]=\sum_{n=1}^{\infty} P[X \geq n\\}=\sum_{n=0}^{\infty} P(X>n\\} $$ Hint: Define the sequence of random variables \(I_{n}, n \geq 1\), by $$ I_{n}=\left\\{\begin{array}{ll} 1, & \text { if } n \leq X \\ 0, & \text { if } n>X \end{array}\right. $$ Now express \(X\) in terms of the \(I_{n}\). (b) If \(X\) and \(Y\) are both nonnegative integer valued random variables, show that $$ E[X Y]=\sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \sum_{m=1}^{\infty} P(X \geq n, Y \geq m) $$

If the coin is assumed fair, then, for \(n=2\), what are the probabilities associated with the values that \(X\) can take on?

Suppose that we want to generate a random variable \(X\) that is equally likely to be either 0 or 1 , and that all we have at our disposal is a biased coin that, when flipped, lands on heads with some (unknown) probability \(p\). Consider the following procedure: 1\. Flip the coin, and let \(0_{1}\), either heads or tails, be the result. 2\. Flip the coin again, and let \(0_{2}\) be the result. 3\. If \(0_{1}\) and \(0_{2}\) are the same, return to step 1 . 4\. If \(0_{2}\) is heads, set \(X=0\), otherwise set \(X=1\). (a) Show that the random variable \(X\) generated by this procedure is equally likely to be either 0 or 1 . (b) Could we use a simpler procedure that continues to flip the coin until the last two flips are different, and then sets \(X=0\) if the final flip is a head, and sets \(X=1\) if it is a tail?

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