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Consider the following procedure for randomly choosing a subset of size \(k\) from the numbers \(1,2, \ldots, n:\) Fix \(p\) and generate the first \(n\) time units of a renewal process whose interarrival distribution is geometric with mean \(1 / p-\) that is, \(P\\{\) interarrival time \(=k\\}=p(1-p)^{k-1}, k=1,2, \ldots .\) Suppose events occur at times \(i_{1}k\) then randomly choose (by some method) a subset of size \(k\) from \(i_{1}, \ldots, i_{m}\) and then stop. If \(m

Short Answer

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The algorithm works because it generates a renewal process with geometric interarrival times, which leverages the memoryless property of the geometric distribution, ensuring equal probability for each subset of size k to be selected. The choice of parameter \(p=k/n\) makes the algorithm more efficient, as it approximates the desired number of events k on average. The different cases in the algorithm further ensure that each subset has an equal chance of being selected regardless of the number of events generated.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the algorithm

First, we need to understand the different parts of the algorithm. The algorithm involves a renewal process with geometric interarrival times. A renewal process is a point process where events occur independently and at random times. The interarrival times between consecutive events follow a geometric distribution with mean \(1/p\). In this case, we have the probability mass function for the interarrival times: \(P(k)=p(1-p)^{k-1}\), for k = 1,2,... The algorithm has the following steps: 1. Generate the first n time units of the renewal process; 2. Check the number of events that occurred (\(m\)); 3. If \(m=k\), stop, and take the event times \(i_1,\ldots,i_m\) as the desired subset; 4. If \(m>k\), randomly choose a subset of size k from the set of event times; 5. If \(m<k\), take the event times as part of the desired subset and then randomly choose a subset of size \(k-m\) from the remaining numbers in the set.
02

Explain the algorithm's core mechanism

The core mechanism of the algorithm lies in generating the renewal process's interarrival times with a geometric distribution. The geometric distribution has a memoryless property, meaning that the probability of a new event occurring does not depend on the past events. In the context of selecting a subset of numbers, this ensures that each combination of k elements has an equal chance of being selected because the inter-event times do not depend on previous events.
03

Explain the different cases

Now we discuss the different cases in the algorithm: 1. If m = k, the algorithm stops, and we have exactly k event times. This means that we have a subset of size k from the first n numbers. Since the renewal process is random and the interarrival times are drawn from a geometric distribution, this subset has the same probability of being selected as any other subset of size k. 2. If m > k, the algorithm proceeds to choose a random subset of size k from the available event times. This case is important because the number of event times might exceed k due to the random nature of the renewal process. However, by choosing the subset randomly, we ensure that each subset has an equal probability of being selected. 3. If m < k, the algorithm adds the event times to the desired subset and then selects a random subset of size k-m from the remaining numbers. In this case, the algorithm is trying to compensate for the lack of enough event times to form a subset of size k. By selecting the remaining k-m numbers randomly from the remaining set, we ensure an equal probability for each subset.
04

Justify the choice of parameter p

The algorithm suggests setting \(p=k/n\), as this results in an expected number of events of \(E[N(n)]=np=k\). This is a reasonable choice because it approximates the desired number of events (k) on average. By setting p to this value, the algorithm is more likely to find a subset of size k with a smaller number of iterations, making it more efficient. In conclusion, the algorithm works because it generates a renewal process with geometric interarrival times, ensuring that the probability of selecting each subset of size k is equal by leveraging the memoryless property of the geometric distribution. Furthermore, by choosing p as \(k/n\), the expected number of events is closer to the desired value k, making the algorithm more efficient in finding the target subset.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The Discrete Hazard Rate Method: Let \(X\) denote a nonnegative integer valued random variable. The function \(\lambda(n)=P\\{X=n \mid X \geqslant n\\}, n \geqslant 0\), is called the discrete hazard rate function. (a) Show that \(P\\{X=n\\}=\lambda(n) \prod_{i=0}^{n-1}(1-\lambda(i))\) (b) Show that we can simulate \(X\) by generating random numbers \(U_{1}, U_{2}, \ldots\) stopping at $$ X=\min \left\\{n: U_{n} \leqslant \lambda(n)\right\\} $$ (c) Apply this method to simulating a geometric random variable. Explain, intuitively, why it works. (d) Suppose that \(\lambda(n) \leqslant p<1\) for all \(n\). Consider the following algorithm for simulating \(X\) and explain why it works: Simulate \(X_{i}, U_{i}, i \geqslant 1\) where \(X_{i}\) is geometric with mean \(1 / p\) and \(U_{i}\) is a random number. Set \(S_{k}=X_{1}+\cdots+X_{k}\) and let $$ X=\min \left\\{S_{k}: U_{k} \leqslant \lambda\left(S_{k}\right) / p\right\\} $$

Stratified Sampling: Let \(U_{1}, \ldots, U_{n}\) be independent random numbers and set \(\bar{U}_{i}=\left(U_{i}+i-1\right) / n, i=1, \ldots, n .\) Hence, \(\bar{U}_{i}, i \geqslant 1\), is uniform on \(((i-1) / n, i / n) .\) \(\sum_{i=1}^{n} g\left(\bar{U}_{i}\right) / n\) is called the stratified sampling estimator of \(\int_{0}^{1} g(x) d x\) (a) Show that \(E\left[\sum_{i=1}^{n} g\left(\bar{U}_{i}\right) / n\right]=\int_{0}^{1} g(x) d x\). (b) Show that \(\operatorname{Var}\left[\sum_{i=1}^{n} g\left(\bar{U}_{i}\right) / n\right] \leqslant \operatorname{Var}\left[\sum_{i=1}^{n} g\left(U_{i}\right) / n\right]\). Hint: Let \(U\) be uniform \((0,1)\) and define \(N\) by \(N=i\) if \((i-1) / n

If \(0 \leqslant X \leqslant a\), show that (a) \(E\left[X^{2}\right] \leqslant a E[X]\) (b) \(\operatorname{Var}(X) \leqslant E[X](a-E[X])\) (c) \(\operatorname{Var}(X) \leqslant a^{2} / 4\).

The Discrete Rejection Metbod: Suppose we want to simulate \(X\) having probability mass function \(P\\{X=i\\}=P_{i}, i=1, \ldots, n\) and suppose we can easily simulate from the probability mass function \(Q_{i}, \sum_{i} Q_{i}=1, Q_{i} \geqslant 0 .\) Let \(C\) be such that \(P_{i} \leqslant C Q_{i}, i=1, \ldots, n .\) Show that the following algorithm generates the desired random variable: Step 1: Generate \(Y\) having mass function \(Q\) and \(U\) an independent random number. Step \(2:\) If \(U \leqslant P_{Y} / C Q_{Y}\), set \(X=Y .\) Otherwise return to step \(1 .\)

Let \((X, Y)\) be uniformly distributed in a circle of radius \(r\) about the origin. That is, their joint density is given by $$ f(x, y)=\frac{1}{\pi r^{2}}, \quad 0 \leqslant x^{2}+y^{2} \leqslant r^{2} $$ Let \(R=\sqrt{X^{2}+Y^{2}}\) and \(\theta=\arctan Y / X\) denote their polar coordinates. Show that \(R\) and \(\theta\) are independent with \(\theta\) being uniform on \((0,2 \pi)\) and \(P\\{R

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