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Show that \(\\{Y(t), t \geqslant 0\\}\) is a Martingale when $$ Y(t)=B^{2}(t)-t $$ What is \(E[Y(t)] ?\) Hint: First compute \(E[Y(t) \mid B(u), 0 \leqslant u \leqslant s]\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
In summary, the process \(Y(t) = B^2(t) - t\) is a martingale, as it satisfies the necessary conditions. The expected value \(E[Y(t)]\) is 0.

Step by step solution

01

Check Condition 1 - Finite expected value for all t

By definition, \(B(t)\) is a standard Brownian motion. Therefore, \(B(t)\) has expected value \(E[B(t)] = 0\) and its variance is \(Var(B(t)) = t\). So, \(E[B^2(t)] = t\), because it is a well-known property of Brownian motion. Now, we compute the expected value of \(Y(t)\): \[ E[Y(t)] = E[B^2(t) - t] \] Since the expected value operator is linear, we can rewrite the equation as: \[ E[Y(t)] = E[B^2(t)] - E[t] \] Given that we already know \(E[B^2(t)] = t\), we can easily find: \[ E[Y(t)] = t - t = 0 \] Thus, \(E[Y(t)]\) is indeed finite, and condition 1 holds.
02

Check Condition 2 - Conditional expectation

For all \(0 \leq s \leq t\), we need to verify if the following condition holds: \[ E[Y(t) \mid B(u), 0 \leq u \leq s] = Y(s) \] First, it's important to note that since \(B(t)\) is a martingale, then \(B(t) - B(s)\) is independent of \(B(u)\) for \(0 \leq u \leq s\). Now, let's calculate the conditional expectation: \[ E[Y(t) \mid B(u), 0 \leq u \leq s] = E[(B^2(t) - t) \mid B(u), 0 \leq u \leq s] \] Now we'll exploit the independence between the increments of Brownian motion, and apply the law of total expectation: \[ E[Y(t) \mid B(u), 0 \leq u \leq s] = E[((B(t) - B(s)) + B(s))^2 - t) \mid B(u), 0 \leq u \leq s] \] \[ E[Y(t) \mid B(u), 0 \leq u \leq s] = E[((B(t) - B(s))^2 + 2B(s)(B(t) - B(s)) + B(s)^2 - t) \mid B(u), 0 \leq u \leq s] \] Use linearity of conditional expectation: \[ E[Y(t) \mid B(u), 0 \leq u \leq s] = E[(B(t) - B(s))^2 \mid B(u), 0 \leq u \leq s] + 2B(s)E[B(t) - B(s) \mid B(u), 0 \leq u \leq s] \\ + E[B(s)^2 \mid B(u), 0 \leq u \leq s]- E[t \mid B(u), 0 \leq u \leq s] \] Since \(B(t) - B(s)\) is independent of \(B(u)\) for \(0 \leq u \leq s\): \[ E[Y(t) \mid B(u), 0 \leq u \leq s] = E[(B(t) - B(s))^2] + 2B(s)E[B(t) - B(s)] + B(s)^2 - t \] As mentioned previously, we know that \(E[B(t) - B(s)] = 0\), so now we just need the expected value of the squared increment: \[ E[(B(t) - B(s))^2] = Var(B(t) - B(s)) = t - s \] Now we can compute the conditional expectation: \[ E[Y(t) \mid B(u), 0 \leq u \leq s] = (t - s) + 0 + B(s)^2 - t \] \[ E[Y(t) \mid B(u), 0 \leq u \leq s] = B(s)^2 - s = Y(s) \] So, \(Y(t)\) satisfies condition 2. Since both conditions are met, we can conclude that \(Y(t)\) is a martingale.
03

Calculate E[Y(t)]

Now we will compute the expected value of Y(t) which we already found in Step 1: \[E[Y(t)] = 0\] So, the expected value of the process \(Y(t)=B^2(t) - t\) is 0.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Show that \(\\{Y(t), t \geqslant 0\\}\) is a Martingale when $$ Y(t)=\exp \left\\{c B(t)-c^{2} t / 2\right\\} $$ where \(c\) is an arbitrary constant. What is \(E[Y(t)] ?\) An important property of a Martingale is that if you continually observe the process and then stop at some time \(T\), then, subject to some technical conditions (which will hold in the problems to be considered), $$ E[Y(T)]=E[Y(0)] $$ The time \(T\) usually depends on the values of the process and is known as a stopping time for the Martingale. This result, that the expected value of the stopped Martingale is equal to its fixed time expectation, is known as the Martingale stopping theorem.

Let \(Y(t)=t B(1 / t), t>0\) and \(Y(0)=0\) (a) What is the distribution of \(Y(t)\) ? (b) Compare \(\operatorname{Cov}(Y(s), Y(t))\). (c) Argue that \(\\{Y(t), t \geqslant 0\\}\) is a standard Brownian motion process.

The present price of a stock is 100 . The price at time 1 will be either 50,100 , or 200\. An option to purchase \(y\) shares of the stock at time 1 for the (present value) price \(k y\) costs \(c y\). (a) If \(k=120\), show that an arbitrage opportunity occurs if and only if \(c>80 / 3\). (b) If \(k=80\), show that there is not an arbitrage opportunity if and only if \(20 \leqslant\) \(c \leqslant 40\).

Let \(X(t)=\sigma B(t)+\mu t\), and for given positive constants \(A\) and \(B\), let \(p\) denote the probability that \(\\{X(t), t \geqslant 0\\}\) hits \(A\) before it hits \(-B\). (a) Define the stopping time \(T\) to be the first time the process hits either \(A\) or \(-B\). Use this stopping time and the Martingale defined in Exercise 19 to show that $$ E\left[\exp \left\\{c(X(T)-\mu T) / \sigma-c^{2} T / 2\right\\}\right]=1 $$ (b) Let \(c=-2 \mu / \sigma\), and show that $$ E[\exp \\{-2 \mu X(T) / \sigma\\}]=1 $$ (c) Use part (b) and the definition of \(T\) to find \(p\). Hint: What are the possible values of \(\exp \left\\{-2 \mu X(T) / \sigma^{2}\right\\} ?\)

Show that standard Brownian motion is a Martingale.

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