Chapter 10: Problem 16
If \(\\{Y(t), t \geqslant 0\\}\) is a Martingale, show that $$ E[Y(t)]=E[Y(0)] $$
Chapter 10: Problem 16
If \(\\{Y(t), t \geqslant 0\\}\) is a Martingale, show that $$ E[Y(t)]=E[Y(0)] $$
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Get started for freeConsider the random walk that in each \(\Delta t\) time unit either goes up or down the amount \(\sqrt{\Delta t}\) with respective probabilities \(p\) and \(1-p\), where \(p=\frac{1}{2}(1+\mu \sqrt{\Delta t})\). (a) Argue that as \(\Delta t \rightarrow 0\) the resulting limiting process is a Brownian motion process with drift rate \(\mu\). (b) Using part (a) and the results of the gambler's ruin problem (Section 4.5.1), compute the probability that a Brownian motion process with drift rate \(\mu\) goes up \(A\) before going down \(B, A>0, B>0\)
Let \(\\{N(t), t \geqslant 0\\}\) denote a Poisson process with rate \(\lambda\) and define \(Y(t)\) to be the time from \(t\) until the next Poisson event. (a) Argue that \(\\{Y(t), t \geqslant 0\\}\) is a stationary process. (b) Compute \(\operatorname{Cov}[Y(t), Y(t+s)]\).
The present price of a stock is 100 . The price at time 1 will be either 50,100 , or 200\. An option to purchase \(y\) shares of the stock at time 1 for the (present value) price \(k y\) costs \(c y\). (a) If \(k=120\), show that an arbitrage opportunity occurs if and only if \(c>80 / 3\). (b) If \(k=80\), show that there is not an arbitrage opportunity if and only if \(20 \leqslant\) \(c \leqslant 40\).
Let \(\\{X(t), t \geqslant 0\\}\) be a Brownian motion process with drift
coefficient \(\mu\) and variance parameter \(\sigma^{2}\). What is the conditional
distribution of \(X(t)\) given that \(X(s)=c\) when
(a) \(s
Suppose you own one share of a stock whose price changes according to a standard Brownian motion process. Suppose that you purchased the stock at a price \(b+c\), \(c \geq 0\), and the present price is \(b\). You have decided to sell the stock either when it reaches the price \(b+c\) or when an additional time \(t\) goes by (whichever occurs first). What is the probability that you do not recover your purchase price?
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