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Using Appendix B Data Sets. In Exercises 29 and 30, use the indicated data set in Appendix B. Green M&Ms Data Set 27 “M&M Weights” in Appendix B includes data from 100 M&M plain candies, and 19 of them are green. The Mars candy company claims that 16% of its M&M plain candies are green. Use the sample data to construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of green M&Ms. What do you conclude about the claim of 16%?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The 95% confidence interval of the percentage of green candies is equal to (11.3%, 26.7%).

As the value of 16% lies in the interval, there is sufficient evidence to support the claim of 16% green candies.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

In a sample of 100 candies, 19 are green. It is claimed that 16% of the candies are green.

02

Expression of the confidence interval

The confidence interval for the population proportion is shown below:

\(\hat p - E < p < \hat p + E\)


Here, E is the margin of error. It has the following formula:

\(E = {z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}} \times \sqrt {\frac{{\hat p\hat q}}{n}} \)where

\(\hat p\)is the sample proportion of adults who have Facebook pages

\(\hat q\)is the sample proportion of adults who do not have Facebook pages

n is the sample size

\({z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}}\) is the one-tailed critical value of z.

03

Sample size and the sample proportions

The sample size (n) is equal to 100.

The sample proportion of green candiesis equal to:

\(\begin{array}{c}\hat p = \frac{{19}}{{100}}\\ = 0.19\end{array}\)

The sample proportion of green candies is equal to:

\(\begin{array}{c}\hat q = 1 - \hat p\\ = 1 - 0.19\\ = 0.81\end{array}\)

04

Step 4:Find the margin of error

The value of\({z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}}\)for\(\alpha = 0.05\)is equal to 1.96.

The margin of error can be computed as follows:

\(\begin{array}{c}E = {z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}} \times \sqrt {\frac{{\hat p\hat q}}{n}} \\ = 1.96 \times \sqrt {\frac{{0.19 \times 0.81}}{{100}}} \\ = 0.0769\end{array}\)

05

Compute the confidence interval

The confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of green candies is computed as follows:

\(\begin{array}{c}\hat p - E < p < \hat p + E\\0.19 - 0.0769 < p < 0.19 + 0.0769\\0.113 < p < 0.267\\11.3\% < p < 26.7\% \end{array}\)

The 95% confidence interval is equal to (11.3%, 26.7%).

06

Conclusion

Since the interval contains the value of 16%, it can be said the claim of 16% green candies is supported.

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