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Job Gains and Losses. In the article "Business Employment Dynamics: New Data on Gross Job Gains and Losses" (Monthly Labor Review, Vol. 127, Issue 4, pp. 29-42), J. Spletzer et al. examined gross job gains and losses as a percentage of the average of previous and current employment figures. A simple random sample of 20 quarters provided the net percentage gains (losses are negative gains) for jobs as presented on the WeissStats site. Use the technology of your choice to do the following.

a. Decide whether, on average, the net percentage gain for jobs exceeds 0.2. Assume a population standard deviation of 0.42. Apply

which we provide on the WeissStats site. Use the technology of your choice to do the following.

a. Obtain a normal probability plot, boxplot, histogram, and stemand-leaf diagram of the data.

b. Based on your results from part (a), can you reasonably apply the one-mean z-test to the data? Explain your reasoning.

c. At the 1%significance level, do the data provide sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean body temperature of healthy humans differs from 98.6°F? Assume that σ=0.63°F.

Short Answer

Expert verified

A hypothesis expresses your expectations for the results of your investigation. It's a hypothesis for your study topic that hasn't been tested yet. You may need to construct many hypotheses to cover different parts of your research issue for certain research initiatives.

Step by step solution

01

Introduction

  • The first step is for the analyst to state the two hypotheses so that only one can be right.
  • The next step is to formulate an analysis plan, which outlines how the data will be evaluated.
  • The third step is to carry out the plan and physically analyze the sample data.
  • The fourth and final step is to analyze the results and either reject the null hypothesis, or state that the null hypothesis is plausible, given the data.
02

a)

Given information:

The random sample of 20 quarters provided the net percentage gain for job as presented on Weiss Stats site.

Calculation:

Write the null and alternative hypothesis.

Null hypothesis.

H0:μ=0.5

The data does not provide sufficient evidence that on average the net percentage gain for jobs exceeds 0.5.

Alternative hypothesis

H0:μ>0.2

The data provide sufficient evidence that on average the net percentage gain for jobs exceeds 0.5.

The significance level is α=0.05

03

Step 3:Calculate the value of the test statistic 

Calculate the value of the test statistic and P-value by using MINITAB.

MINITAB output

One sample Z: Gain

Test of mu=0.2vs>0.2

The assumed standard deviation=0.42


From the MINITAB output, the value of test statistic is $1.01$ and the P-value is 0.156.

If Pα, then reject the null hypothesis.

Here, the P-value is 0.156 which is greater than the level of significance.

P(=0.156)>α(=0.05)

The null hypothesis is not rejected at 5%level.

Thus, the data does not provide sufficient evidence to conclude that on average the net percentage gain for job exceeds 0.5.

04

b. Sketch the various graph for the given problem

The random sample of 20 quarters provided the net percentage gain for job as presented on Weiss Stats site.

Calculation:

Construct the normal probability plot by using MINITAB.

MINITAB output:

From the probability plot, the observations are closer to straight line with one outlier.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Betting the Spreads. College basketball, and particularly the NCAA basketball tournament, is a popular venue for gambling, from novices in office betting pools to high rollers. To encourage uniforn betting across teams, Las Vegas oddsmakers assign a point spread to each game. The point spread is the oddsmakers" prediction for th number of points by which the favored team will win. If you bet of the favorite, you win the bet provided the favorite wins by more than the point spread; otherwise, you lose the bet. Is the point spread a good measure of the relative ability of the two teams? H. Stern and B. Mock addressed this question in the paper "College Basketball Upsets: Will a 16-Seed Ever Beat a 1-Seed?" (Chance, Vol. 11(1), pp. 27-31). They obtained the difference between the actual margin of victory and the point spread, called the point-spread error, for 2109 college basketball games. The mean point-spread error was found to be −0.2 point with a standard deviation of10.9 points. For a particular game, a point-spread error of 0 indicates that the point spread was a perfect estimate of the two teams' relative abilities.
(a) If, on average, the oddsmakers are estimating correctly, what is the (population) mean point-spread error?
(b) Use the data to decide, at the 5% significance level, whether the (population) mean point-spread error differs from 0 .
c) Interpret your answer in part (b).

In each of Exercises 9.41-9.46 ,determine the critical values for a one-mean z-test. For each exercise, draw a graph that illustrates your answer

A right- tailed test withα=0.01

In each part, we have given the value obtained for the test statistic, z, in a one-mean z-test. We have also specified whether the test is two tailed, left tailed, or right tailed. Determine the P-value in each case and decide whether, at the 5%significance level, the data provide sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative hypothesis.

a. z=-1.25; left-tailed test

b. z=2.36; right-tailed test

c. z=1.83; two-tailed test

In the given exercise, we have provided a sample mean, sample size, and population standard. In each case, use the one-mean z-test to perform the required hypothesis test at the 5% significance level.

x=20,n=24,σ=4,H0:μ=22,Ha:μ22

Cheese Consumption. Refer to Problem 24. The following table provides last year's cheese consumption: in pounds, 35 randomly selected Americans.

4629333842403433323628472642363245243928334433263727313637373622443629

  1. At the 10%significance level, do the data provide sufficient evidence to conclude that last year's mean cheese consumption for all Americans has increased over the 2010 mean? Assume that σ=6.9lb. Use a z-test. (Note: The sum of the data is 1218lb.)
  2. Given the conclusion in part (a), if an error has been made, what type must it be? Explain your answer.
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