Chapter 4: Q2 (page 178)
Rain As the author is creating this exercise, a weather reporter stated that there is a 20% chance of rain tomorrow. What is the probability of no rain tomorrow?
Short Answer
The probability of no rain tomorrow is 0.8.
Chapter 4: Q2 (page 178)
Rain As the author is creating this exercise, a weather reporter stated that there is a 20% chance of rain tomorrow. What is the probability of no rain tomorrow?
The probability of no rain tomorrow is 0.8.
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Get started for freeDenomination Effect. In Exercises 13–16, use the data in the following table. In an experiment to study the effects of using a \(1 bill or a \)1 bill, college students were given either a \(1 bill or a \)1 bill and they could either keep the money or spend it on gum. The results are summarized in the table (based on data from “The Denomination Effect,” by Priya Raghubir and Joydeep Srivastava, Journal of Consumer Research, Vol. 36).
Purchased Gum | Kept the Money | |
Students Given A \(1 bill | 27 | 46 |
Students Given a \)1 bill | 12 | 34 |
Denomination Effect
a. Find the probability of randomly selecting a student who spent the money, given that the student was given a \(1 bill.
b. Find the probability of randomly selecting a student who kept the money, given that the student was given a \)1 bill.
c. What do the preceding results suggest?
In Exercises 21–24, refer to the sample data in Table 4-1, which is included with the Chapter Problem. Assume that 1 of the 555 subjects included in Table 4-1 is randomly selected.
Positive Test Result (Test shows drug use) | Negative Test Result (Test shows no drug use) | |
Subject Uses Drugs | 45 (True Positive) | 5 (False Negative) |
Subject Does Not Use drugs | 25 (False Positive) | 480 (True Negative) |
Drug Testing Job Applicants Find the probability of selecting someone who uses drugs. Does the result appear to be reasonable as an estimate of the “prevalence rate” described in the Chapter Problem?
In Exercises 9–20, use the data in the following table, which lists drive-thru order accuracy at popular fast food chains (data from a QSR Drive-Thru Study). Assume that orders are randomly selected from those included in the table.
McDonald’s | Burger King | Wendy’s | Taco Bell | |
Order Accurate | 329 | 264 | 249 | 145 |
OrderNotAccurate | 33 | 54 | 31 | 13 |
Fast Food Drive-Thru Accuracy If one order is selected, find the probability of getting an order from McDonald’s or an order that is accurate. Are the events of selecting an order from McDonald’s and selecting an accurate order disjoint events?
Using Probability to Form Conclusions. In Exercises 37–40, use the given probability value todeterminewhether the sample results could easily occur by chance, then form a conclusion.
Predicting Gender A study addressed the issue of whether pregnant women can correctly predict the gender of their baby. Among 104 pregnant women, 57 correctly predicted the gender of their baby (based on data from “Are Women Carrying ‘Basketballs’. . . ,” by Perry, DiPietro, Constigan, Birth, Vol. 26, No. 3). If pregnant women have no such ability, there is a 0.327 probability of getting such sample results by chance. What do you conclude?
In Exercises 29 and 30, find the probabilities and indicate when the “5% guideline for cumbersome calculations” is used.
Medical Helicopters In a study of helicopter usage and patient survival, results were obtained from 47,637 patients transported by helicopter and 111,874 patients transported by ground (based on data from “Association Between Helicopter vs Ground Emergency Medical Services and Survival for Adults with Major Trauma,” by Galvagno et al., Journal of the American Medical Association, Vol. 307, No. 15).
a. If 1 of the 159,511 patients in the study is randomly selected, what is the probability that the subject was transported by helicopter?
b. If 5 of the subjects in the study are randomly selected without replacement, what is the probability that all of them were transported by helicopter
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