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Using Confidence Intervals

a. Assume that we want to use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that p1 < p2. Which is better: A hypothesis test or a confidence interval?

b. In general, when dealing with inferences for two population proportions, which two of the following are equivalent: confidence interval method; P-value method; critical value method?

c. If we want to use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that p1 < p2, what confidence level should we use?

d. If we test the claim in part (c) using the sample data in Exercise 1, we get this confidence interval: -0.000508 < p1 - p2 < - 0.000309. What does this confidence interval suggest about the claim?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. A hypothesis test is better than a confidence interval.

b. The p-value method and critical value method are equivalent.

c. The 90% confidence interval to test the claim is made about the difference between two population proportion .

d. The given confidence interval suggests that there is sufficient evidence to support the claim that .

Step by step solution

01

Describe the methods of Inferences about two proportion.

a. The following methods can be used for comparing two population proportion:

1. Hypothesis test

2. Confidence Interval

The hypothesis test is used to test the claims about two population proportions. The confidence interval is used when estimating about the differences between two population proportions.

A hypothesis test is recommended for testing a claim at 0.05 level of significance.

Hence, in this case hypothesis test is better than confidence interval.

02

Check equivalency of three methods

b.In a hypothesis test, there are two methods to test the claims about population proportion,

1. P-value method

2. Critical value method

Both methods are used to test the claim made about two proportions. In p-value method, a probability value is compared to a significance level to make a decision while in critical value method, the test statistic is compared to critical value(s) to make a decision about hypotheses.

The method of confidence interval is used primarily to estimate the difference between two population proportions.

Thus, the P-value method and critical value method are equivalent.

03

State the confidence level

c. As per the table 8-1, for one tailed significance test at 0.05 level of significance, 90% confidence level is recommended.

04

Step 4:Make conclusion about the claim

d. Refer to exercise 1 for the claim stated as,

Ho:p1=p2Ha:p1<p2

Where p1,p2are population proportion of children who developed polio after vaccine and in control group respectively.

The given confidence interval is -0.000508<p1-p2<-0.000309.

This confidence does not contain zero. Thus, there is significant difference between two proportion p1andp2.

Therefore, the given confidence interval suggests that there is sufficient evidence to support the claim that is p1less that p2.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In Exercises 5โ€“20, assume that the two samples are independent simple random samples selected from normally distributed populations, and do not assume that the population standard deviations are equal. (Note: Answers in Appendix D include technology answers based on Formula 9-1 along with โ€œTableโ€ answers based on Table A-3 with df equal to the smaller of \({n_1} - 1\) and \({n_2} - 1\).)

Second-Hand Smoke Data Set 12 โ€œPassive and Active Smokeโ€ in Appendix B includes cotinine levels measured in a group of nonsmokers exposed to tobacco smoke (n = 40, \(\bar x\) = 60.58 ng/mL, s = 138.08 ng/mL) and a group of nonsmokers not exposed to tobacco smoke (n = 40, \(\bar x\) = 16.35 ng/mL, s = 62.53 ng/mL). Cotinine is a metabolite of nicotine, meaning that when nicotine is absorbed by the body, cotinine is produced.

a. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that nonsmokers exposed to tobacco smoke have a higher mean cotinine level than nonsmokers not exposed to tobacco smoke.

b. Construct the confidence interval appropriate for the hypothesis test in part (a).

c. What do you conclude about the effects of second-hand smoke?

A sample size that will ensure a margin of error of at most the one specified.

Testing Claims About Proportions. In Exercises 7โ€“22, test the given claim. Identify the null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, P-value or critical value(s), then state the conclusion about the null hypothesis, as well as the final conclusion that addresses the original claim.

Ground vs. Helicopter for Serious Injuries A study investigated rates of fatalities among patients with serious traumatic injuries. Among 61,909 patients transported by helicopter, 7813 died. Among 161,566 patients transported by ground services, 17,775 died (based on data from โ€œAssociation Between Helicopter vs Ground Emergency Medical Services and Survival for Adults With Major Trauma,โ€ by Galvagno et al., Journal of the American Medical Association, Vol. 307, No. 15). Use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that the rate of fatalities is higher for patients transported by helicopter.

a. Test the claim using a hypothesis test.

b. Test the claim by constructing an appropriate confidence interval.

c. Considering the test results and the actual sample rates, is one mode of transportation better than the other? Are there other important factors to consider?

In Exercises 5โ€“20, assume that the two samples are independent simple random samples selected from normally distributed populations, and do not assume that the population standard deviations are equal. (Note: Answers in Appendix D include technology answers based on Formula 9-1 along with โ€œTableโ€ answers based on Table A-3 with df equal to the smaller of n1โˆ’1 and n2โˆ’1.)

Color and Cognition Researchers from the University of British Columbia conducted a study to investigate the effects of color on cognitive tasks. Words were displayed on a computer screen with background colors of red and blue. Results from scores on a test of word recall are given below. Higher scores correspond to greater word recall.

a. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the samples are from populations with the same mean.

b. Construct a confidence interval appropriate for the hypothesis test in part (a). What is it about the confidence interval that causes us to reach the same conclusion from part (a)?

c. Does the background color appear to have an effect on word recall scores? If so, which color appears to be associated with higher word memory recall scores?

Red Background n = 35, x = 15.89, s = 5.90

Blue Background n = 36, x = 12.31, s = 5.48

Using Confidence Intervals

a. Assume that we want to use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that p1 < p2. Which is better: A hypothesis test or a confidence interval?

b. In general, when dealing with inferences for two population proportions, which two of the following are equivalent: confidence interval method; P-value method; critical value method?

c. If we want to use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that p1 < p2, what confidence level should we use?

d. If we test the claim in part (c) using the sample data in Exercise 1, we get this confidence interval: -0.000508 < p1 - p2 < - 0.000309. What does this confidence interval suggest about the claim?

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