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Let x denote the test statistic for a hypothesis test and x0 its observed value. Then the P-value of the hypothesis test equals

Part (a): Pxx0for a right-tailed test

Part (b): Pxx0for a left-tailed test

Part (c): 2.minPxx0,Pxx0for a two-tailed test

where the probabilities are computed under the assumption.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part (a): The value of P-value equals xz,x0z0.

Part (b): The value of P-value equals xz,x0z0.

Part (c): The value of P-value equals P=2×Pzz0,orforanyvalueofz02×Pzz0.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1. Given information.

Consider the given question,

Pxx0

02

Part (a) Step 2. Consider a right-tailed test.

Consider a one-mean z-test.

The test statistic for a one-mean z-test using null hypothesisH0:μ=μ0is given below,

z=x¯-μ0an

In case the null hypothesis is true then the test statistic will have the standard normal distribution, which is z~N0,1.

Let z0 be the observed value of the test statistic z.

In case of the right tailed test, P-value=Pzz0, where z~N0,1.

So clearly, the expression is equivalent to the given expression asxz,x0z0.

03

Part (b) Step 1. Consider a left-tailed test.

Consider a one-mean z-test.

The test statistic for a one-mean z-test using null hypothesisH0:μ=μ0is given below,

z=x¯-μ0an

Let z0 be the observed value of the test statistic z.

In case of the left tailed test, P-value=Pzz0, where z~N0,1.

So clearly, the expression is equivalent to the given expression asxz,x0z0.

04

Part (c) Step 1. Consider two-tailed test.

Consider a one-mean z-test.

The test statistic for a one-mean z-test using null hypothesisH0:μ=μ0is given below,

z=x¯-μ0an

Let z0 be the observed value of the test statistic z.

In case of the two tailed test,

P-value=2×minPzz0,Pzz0......(i)=2×Pzz0,ifz0<0or2×Pzz0,ifz0>0......(ii)=2×Pzz0,ifz0<0or2×Pzz0,ifz0>0ifz0<0,z0=-z0,ifz0>0,z0=z0=2×Pzz0,orforanyvalueofz02×Pzz0

05

Part (c) Step 2. Consider equations (i) and (ii).

We can see that the expression of probability given in part (c) is equivalent to the expression of P-value that is obtained.

The justification of step (i) and (ii) is given below,

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In Exercises 9–12, refer to the exercise identified. Make subjective estimates to decide whether results are significantly low or significantly high, then state a conclusion about the original claim. For example, if the claim is that a coin favours heads and sample results consist of 11 heads in 20 flips, conclude that there is not sufficient evidence to support the claim that the coin favours heads (because it is easy to get 11 heads in 20 flips by chance with a fair coin).

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Insomnia Treatment A clinical trial was conducted to test the effectiveness of the drug zopiclone for treating insomnia in older subjects. Before treatment with zopiclone, 16 subjects had a mean wake time of 102.8 min. After treatment with zopiclone, the 16 subjects had a mean wake time of 98.9 min and a standard deviation of 42.3 min (based on data from “Cognitive Behavioral Therapy vs Zopiclone for Treatment of Chronic Primary Insomnia in Older Adults,” by Sivertsenet al.,Journal of the American Medical Association, Vol. 295, No. 24). Assume that the 16 sample values appear to be from a normally distributed population, and test the claim that after treatment with zopiclone, subjects have a mean wake time of less than 102.8 min. Does zopiclone appear to be effective?

Using Confidence Intervals to Test Hypotheseswhen analyzing the last digits of telephone numbers in Port Jefferson, it is found that among 1000 randomly selected digits, 119 are zeros. If the digits are randomly selected, the proportion of zeros should be 0.1.

a.Use the critical value method with a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the proportion of zeros equals 0.1.

b.Use the P-value method with a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the proportion of zeros equals 0.1.

c.Use the sample data to construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the proportion of zeros. What does the confidence interval suggest about the claim that the proportion of zeros equals 0.1?

d.Compare the results from the critical value method, the P-value method, and the confidence interval method. Do they all lead to the same conclusion?

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Exercise 17

In Exercises 9–12, refer to the exercise identified. Make subjective estimates to decide whether results are significantly low or significantly high, then state a conclusion about the original claim. For example, if the claim is that a coin favours heads and sample results consist of 11 heads in 20 flips, conclude that there is not sufficient evidence to support the claim that the coin favours heads (because it is easy to get 11 heads in 20 flips by chance with a fair coin).

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