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Winning team data were collected for teams in different sports, with the results given in the table on the top of the next page (based on data from “Predicting Professional Sports Game Outcomes fromIntermediateGame Scores,” by Copper, DeNeve, and Mosteller, Chance,Vol. 5, No. 3–4). Use a 0.10significance level to test the claim that home/visitor wins are independent of the sport. Given that among the four sports included here, baseball is the only sport in which the home team canmodify field dimensions to favor its own players, does it appear that baseball teams are effective in using this advantage?

Basketball

Baseball

Hockey

Football

Home Team Wins

127

53

50

57

Visiting Team Wins

71

47

43

42

Short Answer

Expert verified

Home/visitor wins are independent of the sport.

Thus, the advantage to the baseball teams is not effective.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The data for different sports and home/Visiting team wins is provided.

The level of significance 0.10.

02

Compute the expected frequencies

The formula forexpected frequencyis,

\(E = \frac{{\left( {row\;total} \right)\left( {column\;total} \right)}}{{\left( {grand\;total} \right)}}\)

The table with row and column total for observed counts is represented as,


Basketball

Baseball

Hockey

Football

Row total

Home Team Wins

127

53

50

57

287

Visiting Team Wins

71

47

43

42

203

Column total

198

100

93

99

490

Theexpected frequency tableis represented as,


Basketball

Baseball

Hockey

Football

Home Team Wins

115.9714

58.5714

54.4714

57.9857

Visiting Team Wins

82.0286

41.4286

38.5286

41.0143

03

State the null and alternate hypothesis

The hypotheses are formulated as,

\({H_0}:\)Home/visitor wins are independent of the sport.

\({H_1}:\)Home/visitor wins are dependent on the sport.

04

Compute the test statistic

The value of the test statisticis computed as,

\[\begin{aligned}{c}{\chi ^2} = \sum {\frac{{{{\left( {O - E} \right)}^2}}}{E}} \\ = \frac{{{{\left( {127 - 115.9714} \right)}^2}}}{{115.9714}} + \frac{{{{\left( {53 - 58.5714} \right)}^2}}}{{58.5714}} + ... + \frac{{{{\left( {42 - 41.0143} \right)}^2}}}{{41.0143}}\\ = 4.7372\end{aligned}\]

Therefore, the value of the test statistic is 4.7372.

05

Compute the degrees of freedom

The degrees of freedomare computed as,

\(\begin{aligned}{c}\left( {r - 1} \right)\left( {c - 1} \right) = \left( {2 - 1} \right)\left( {4 - 1} \right)\\ = 3\end{aligned}\)

Therefore, the degrees of freedom are 3.

06

Compute the critical value

From the chi-square table, the critical value to 3 degrees of freedom and at 0.10 level of significance 6.2514.

Therefore, the critical value is 6.2514

07

State the decision

Since the critical value (6.2514) is greater than the value of the test statistic (4.7372). In this case, the null hypothesis fails to be rejected.

Therefore, the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis.

08

State the conclusion

There issufficient evidence to support the claim that Home/visitor wins are independent of the sport.

Thus, the wins are not dependent on the sport.

Thus, the advantage is not effective for the wins of baseball teams.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In Exercises 5–20, conduct the hypothesis test and provide the test statistic and the P-value and , or critical value, and state the conclusion.

World Series Games The table below lists the numbers of games played in 105 Major League Baseball (MLB) World Series. This table also includes the expected proportions for the numbers of games in a World Series, assuming that in each series, both teams have about the same chance of winning. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the actual numbers of games fit the distribution indicated by the expected proportions.

Games Played

4

5

6

7

World Series Contests

21

23

23

38

Expected Proportion

2/16

4/16

5/16

5/16

The accompanying table lists results of overtime football

games before and after the overtime rule was changed in the National Football League in 2011. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim of independence between winning an overtime game and whether playing under the old rule or the new rule. What do the results suggest about

the effectiveness of the rule change?

Before Rule Change

After Rule Change

Overtime Coin Toss Winner Won the Game

252

24

Overtime Coin Toss Winner Lost the Game

208

23

In his book Outliers,author Malcolm Gladwell argues that more

American-born baseball players have birth dates in the months immediately following July 31 because that was the age cutoff date for nonschool baseball leagues. The table below lists months of births for a sample of American-born baseball players and foreign-born baseball players. Using a 0.05 significance level, is there sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that months of births of baseball players are independent of whether they are born in America? Do the data appear to support Gladwell’s claim?


Born in America

Foreign Born

Jan.

387

101

Feb.

329

82

March

366

85

April

344

82

May

336

94

June

313

83

July

313

59

Aug.

503

91

Sept.

421

70

Oct.

434

100

Nov.

398

103

Dec.

371

82

In Exercises 1–4, use the following listed arrival delay times (minutes) for American Airline flights from New York to Los Angeles. Negative values correspond to flights that arrived early. Also shown are the SPSS results for analysis of variance. Assume that we plan to use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the different flights have the same mean arrival delay time.

Flight 1

-32

-25

-26

-6

5

-15

-17

-36

Flight 19

-5

-32

-13

-9

-19

49

-30

-23

Flight 21

-23

28

103

-19

-5

-46

13

-3

P-Value If we use a 0.05 significance level in analysis of variance with the sample data given in Exercise 1, what is the P-value? What should we conclude? If a passenger abhors late flight arrivals, can that passenger be helped by selecting one of the flights?

Chocolate and Happiness Use the results from part (b) of Cumulative Review Exercise 2 to test the claim that when asked, more than 80% of women say that chocolate makes them happier. Use a 0.01 significance level.

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