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Best Multiple Regression Equation For the regression equation given in Exercise 1, the P-value is 0.000 and the adjusted \({R^2}\)value is 0.925. If we were to include an additional predictor variable of neck size (in.), the P-value becomes 0.000 and the adjusted\({R^2}\)becomes 0.933. Given that the adjusted \({R^2}\)value of 0.933 is larger than 0.925, is it better to use the regression equation with the three predictor variables of length, chest size, and neck size? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Yes, it is better to use the regression equation with the predictor variables of length, chest size, and neck size because of the following factors:

  • It is a greater adjusted\({R^2}\)value.
  • The regression is significant.
  • The variation in the response variable of weight is explained more using the regression equation with three predictors or independent variables.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

A regression equation is computed to predict the weight of a bear (inlb) using the predictor variables “weight”, “length,” and “chest size.”

The p-value and the adjusted\({R^2}\)value are 0.000 and 0.925, respectively.

Further, another predictor variable “neck size” is added to the equation, and the p-value and the adjusted \({R^2}\) are 0.000 and 0.933, respectively.

02

Best regression equation

To identify the best regression equation, consider the equation with the highest value of adjusted\({R^2}\).

Here, the regression equation with two independent variables, “length” and “chest size”, has the adjusted \({R^2}\) value of 0.925. Moreover, the p-value for this regression is equal to 0.000, indicating that the regression is significant.

Further, another predictor variable “neck size” is added to the previous equation.

Now, the regression equation with three independent variables of “length”, “chest size” and “neck size” has a new adjusted \({R^2}\) value at 0.933.The new p-value is 0.000, which implies that the new regression is still significant.

Here,

\(\begin{array}{c}{\rm{New}}\;{\rm{Adjusted}}\;{R^2} > {\rm{Adjusted}}\;{R^2}\\0.933 > 0.925\end{array}\)

Since the new regression equation with the variable “neck size” has a larger value of adjusted\({R^2}\)and the regression is significant, the new regression equation is the best. It explains more variation in the response variable as compared to the equation with only two predictors.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Cigarette Tar and Nicotine The table below lists measured amounts (mg) of tar, carbonmonoxide (CO), and nicotine in king size cigarettes of different brands (from Data Set 13“Cigarette Contents” in Appendix B).

a. Is there is sufficient evidence to support a claim of a linear correlation between tar and nicotine?

b. What percentage of the variation in nicotine can be explained by the linear correlation between nicotine and tar?

c. Letting yrepresent the amount of nicotine and letting xrepresent the amount of tar, identify the regression equation.

d. The Raleigh brand king size cigarette is not included in the table, and it has 23 mg of tar. What is the best predicted amount of nicotine? How does the predicted amount compare to the actual amount of 1.3 mg of nicotine?

Tar

25

27

20

24

20

20

21

24

CO

18

16

16

16

16

16

14

17

Nicotine

1.5

1.7

1.1

1.6

1.1

1.0

1.2

1.4

Critical Thinking: Is the pain medicine Duragesic effective in reducing pain? Listed below are measures of pain intensity before and after using the drug Duragesic (fontanels) (based on data from Janssen Pharmaceutical Products, L.P.). The data are listed in order by row, and corresponding measures are from the same subject before and after treatment. For example, the first subject had a measure of 1.2 before treatment and a measure of 0.4 after treatment. Each pair of measurements is from one subject, and the intensity of pain was measured using the standard visual analog score. A higher score corresponds to higher pain intensity.

Pain intensity before Duragestic Treatment

1.2

1.3

1.5

1.6

8

3.4

3.5

2.8

2.6

2.2

3

7.1

2.3

2.1

3.4

6.4

5

4.2

2.8

3.9

5.2

6.9

6.9

5

5.5

6

5.5

8.6

9.4

10

7.6

Pain intensity after Duragestic Treatment

0.4

1.4

1.8

2.9

6.0

1.4

0.7

3.9

0.9

1.8

0.9

9.3

8.0

6.8

2.3

0.4

0.7

1.2

4.5

2.0

1.6

2.0

2.0

6.8

6.6

4.1

4.6

2.9

5.4

4.8

4.1

Regression:Use the given data to find the equation of the regression line. Let the response (y) variable be the pain intensity after treatment. What would be the equation of the regression line for a treatment having absolutely no effect?

Stocks and Sunspots. Listed below are annual high values of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and annual mean sunspot numbers for eight recent years. Use the data for Exercises 1–5. A sunspot number is a measure of sunspots or groups of sunspots on the surface of the sun. The DJIA is a commonly used index that is a weighted mean calculated from different stock values.

DJIA

14,198

13,338

10,606

11,625

12,929

13,589

16,577

18,054

Sunspot

Number

7.5

2.9

3.1

16.5

55.7

57.6

64.7

79.3

Confidence Interval Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the mean sunspot number. Write a brief statement interpreting the confidence interval.

Exercises 13–28 use the same data sets as Exercises 13–28 in Section 10-1. In each case, find the regression equation, letting the first variable be the predictor (x) variable. Find the indicated predicted value by following the prediction procedure summarized in Figure 10-5 on page 493.

Use the CPI/subway fare data from the preceding exercise and find

the best predicted subway fare for a time when the CPI reaches 500. What is wrong with this prediction?

Interpreting the Coefficient of Determination. In Exercises 5–8, use the value of the linear correlation coefficient r to find the coefficient of determination and the percentage of the total variation that can be explained by the linear relationship between the two variables.

Bears r = 0.783 (x = head width of a bear, y = weight of a bear)

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