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Testing for a Linear Correlation. In Exercises 13–28, construct a scatterplot, and find the value of the linear correlation coefficient r. Also find the P-value or the critical values of r from Table A-6. Use a significance level of A = 0.05. Determine whether there is sufficient evidence to support a claim of a linear correlation between the two variables. (Save your work because the same data sets will be used in Section 10-2 exercises.)

22. Crickets and Temperature A classic application of correlation involves the association between the temperature and the number of times a cricket chirps in a minute. Listed below are the numbers of chirps in 1 min and the corresponding temperatures in °F (based on data from The Song of Insects, by George W. Pierce, Harvard University Press). Is there sufficient evidence to conclude that there is a linear correlation between the number of chirps in 1 min and the temperature?

Actress

28

30

29

61

32

33

45

29

62

22

44

54

Actor

43

37

38

45

50

48

60

50

39

55

44

33

Short Answer

Expert verified

The scatterplot is shown below:

The value of the correlation coefficient is 0.874.

The p-value is 0.005.

There is enough evidence to support the claim for a linear correlation between chirps in one minute and temperature.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The data is recorded forchirps of crickets and temperatures in degrees Fahrenheit.

Chirps in 1 min

Temperature

882

69.7

1188

93.3

1104

84.3

864

76.3

1200

88.6

1032

82.6

960

71.6

900

79.6

02

Sketch a scatterplot

Scatterplot projects a paired set of observationsontwo axes scaled for the two variables.

Steps to sketch a scatterplot:

  1. Describe two axes, x and y, for chirps in 1 minute and temperature, respectively.
  2. Mark the points on the graph.

The graph is shown below.

03

Compute the measure of the correlation coefficient

The correlation coefficient formula is

\(r = \frac{{n\sum {xy} - \left( {\sum x } \right)\left( {\sum y } \right)}}{{\sqrt {n\left( {\sum {{x^2}} } \right) - {{\left( {\sum x } \right)}^2}} \sqrt {n\left( {\sum {{y^2}} } \right) - {{\left( {\sum y } \right)}^2}} }}\).

Describe variables x and y as chirps in 1 minute and temperature, respectively.

The valuesare listed in the table below:

x

y

\({x^2}\)

\({y^2}\)

\(xy\)

882

69.7

777924

4858.09

61475.4

1188

93.3

1411344

8704.89

110840.4

1104

84.3

1218816

7106.49

93067.2

864

76.3

746496

5821.69

65923.2

1200

88.6

1440000

7849.96

106320

1032

82.6

1065024

6822.76

85243.2

960

71.6

921600

5126.56

68736

900

79.6

810000

6336.16

71640

\(\sum x = 8130\)

\(\sum y = 646\)

\(\sum {{x^2}} = 8391204\)

\(\sum {{y^2} = } \;52626.6\)

\(\sum {xy\; = \;} 663245.4\)

Substitute the values in the formula:

\(\begin{aligned} r &= \frac{{8\left( {663245.4} \right) - \left( {8130} \right)\left( {646} \right)}}{{\sqrt {8\left( {8391204} \right) - {{\left( {8130} \right)}^2}} \sqrt {8\left( {52626.6} \right) - {{\left( {646} \right)}^2}} }}\\ &= 0.874\end{aligned}\)

Thus, the correlation coefficient is 0.874.

04

Step 4:Conduct a hypothesis test for correlation

Definethe actual measure of the correlation coefficient between chirps and temperature as\(\rho \).

For testing the claim, form the hypotheses:

\(\begin{array}{l}{H_o}:\rho = 0\\{H_a}:\rho \ne 0\end{array}\)

The samplesize is 8(n).

The test statistic is computed as follows:

\(\begin{aligned} t &= \frac{r}{{\sqrt {\frac{{1 - {r^2}}}{{n - 2}}} }}\\ &= \frac{{0.874}}{{\sqrt {\frac{{1 - {{\left( {0.874} \right)}^2}}}{{8 - 2}}} }}\\ &= 4.406\end{aligned}\)

Thus, the test statistic is 4.406.

The degree of freedom is

\(\begin{aligned} df &= n - 2\\ &= 8 - 2\\ &= 6.\end{aligned}\)

The p-value is computed from the t-distribution table.

\(\begin{aligned} p{\rm{ - value}} &= 2P\left( {t > 4.406} \right)\\ &= 0.0045\\ &\approx 0.005\end{aligned}\)

Thus, the p-value is 0.005.

Since thep-value is lesser than 0.05, the null hypothesis is rejected.

Therefore, there is enough evidence to conclude a linear correlation between chirps in 1 minute and temperature.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

let the predictor variable x be the first variable given. Use the given data to find the regression equation and the best predicted value of the response variable. Be sure to follow the prediction procedure summarized in Figure 10-5 on page 493. Use a 0.05 significance level.

For 30 recent Academy Award ceremonies, ages of Best Supporting Actors (x) and ages of Best Supporting Actresses (y) are recorded. The 30 paired ages yield\(\bar x = 52.1\)years,\(\bar y = 37.3\)years, r= 0.076, P-value = 0.691, and

\(\hat y = 34.4 + 0.0547x\). Find the best predicted value of\(\hat y\)(age of Best Supporting Actress) in 1982, when the age of the Best Supporting Actor (x) was 46 years.

Finding Critical r Values Table A-6 lists critical values of r for selected values of n and a. More generally, critical r values can be found by using the formula

\(r = \frac{t}{{\sqrt {{t^2} + n - 2} }}\)

where the t value is found from the table of critical t values (Table A-3) assuming a two-tailed case with n - 2 degrees of freedom. Use the formula for r given here and in Table A-3 (with n - 2 degrees of freedom) to find the critical r values corresponding to \({H_1}:\rho \ne 0\), \(\alpha \)= 0.02, and n = 27.

Stocks and Sunspots. Listed below are annual high values of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and annual mean sunspot numbers for eight recent years. Use the data for Exercises 1–5. A sunspot number is a measure of sunspots or groups of sunspots on the surface of the sun. The DJIA is a commonly used index that is a weighted mean calculated from different stock values.

DJIA

14,198

13,338

10,606

11,625

12,929

13,589

16,577

18,054

Sunspot

Number

7.5

2.9

3.1

16.5

55.7

57.6

64.7

79.3

Correlation Use a 0.05 significance level to test for a linear correlation between the DJIA values and the sunspot numbers. Is the result as you expected? Should anyone consider investing in stocks based on sunspot numbers?

Explore! Exercises 9 and 10 provide two data sets from “Graphs in Statistical Analysis,” by F. J. Anscombe, the American Statistician, Vol. 27. For each exercise,

a. Construct a scatterplot.

b. Find the value of the linear correlation coefficient r, then determine whether there is sufficient evidence to support the claim of a linear correlation between the two variables.

c. Identify the feature of the data that would be missed if part (b) was completed without constructing the scatterplot.

x

10

8

13

9

11

14

6

4

12

7

5

y

9.14

8.14

8.74

8.77

9.26

8.10

6.13

3.10

9.13

7.26

4.74

Interpreting r For the same two variables described in Exercise 1, if we find that r = 0, does that indicate that there is no association between those two variables?

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