Probability of at least one encounter Suppose in a large group of people, a
fraction of the people have flu. The probability that in
random encounters you will meet at least one person with flu is Although is a positive integer, regard it as a positive
real number.
a. Compute and
b. How sensitive is the probability to the flu rate Suppose you meet
people. Approximately how much does the probability increase if the
flu rate increases from to
c. Approximately how much does the probability increase if the flu rate
increases from to with
d. Interpret the results of parts (b) and (c).