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Aand Bwill take the same 10-question examination. Each question will be answered correctly by Awith probability.7, independently of her results on other questions. Each question will be answered correctly by B with probability .4, independently both of her results on the other questions and on the performance of A.

(a) Find the expected number of questions that are answered correctly by both A and B.

(b) Find the variance of the number of questions that are answered correctly by either A or B

Short Answer

Expert verified

The expected number of correctly answered questions by both Aand Bon a 10question exam is2.8.

The variance for the number of correctly answered questions by either Aor B is1.476.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information (Part-a)

The problem deals with the probability of two persons Aand Banswering correctly on a 10question exam.

Probability of ' A ' answering one question correctly,P(A)=0.7

02

Solution of the Problem (Part-a)

The probability of success, that is, both Aand Banswering a question correctly is given by p(AB)=p(A)×p(B)

=0.7×0.4

=0.28.

03

Computation of the Expected Value (Part-a)

Let Xdenotes the number of questions that are answered correctly by both Aand Bon a 10question exam.

Here,X~Binom(n=10,p=0.28)

The expected value is found as follows.

E(X)=np

=10×0.28

We get,

=2.8.

04

Final Answer (Part-a)

The expected number of correctly answered questions by both AandBon a 10question exam is 2.8.

05

Given Information (Part-b)

The problem deals with the probability of two persons Aand Banswering correctly on a 10question exam.

Probability of ' B' answering one question correctly,P(B)=0.4.

06

Solution of the Problem (Part-b)

The probability that either Aor Banswers a question correctly is given below.

P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)-P(AB)

=0.7+0.4-0.28

We get,

=0.82.

07

Computation of the Variance (Part-b)

LetX denotes the number of questions that are answered correctly by either Aor Bon a10question exam.

Here, X~Binom(n=10,p=0.82)

Then, the variance of the number of questions correctly answered by either Aor Bis given by,

Var(X)=np(1-p)

=10×0.82×(1-0.82)

=1.476

08

Final Answer (Part-b)

The variance for the number of correctly answered questions by either Aor Bis 1.476.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In some military courts, 9judges are appointed. However, both the prosecution and the defense attorneys are entitled to a peremptory challenge of any judge, in which case that judge is removed from the case and is not replaced. A defendant is declared guilty if the majority of judges cast votes of guilty, and he or she is declared innocent otherwise. Suppose that when the defendant is, in fact, guilty, each judge will (independently) vote guilty with probability .7,whereas when the defendant is, in fact, innocent, this probability drops to .3.

(a) What is the probability that a guilty defendant is declared guilty when there are (i) 9, (ii) 8, and (iii) 7judges?

(b) Repeat part (a) for an innocent defendant.

(c) If the prosecuting attorney does not exercise the right to a peremptory challenge of a judge, and if the defense is limited to at most two such challenges, how many challenges should the defense attorney make if he or she is 60percent certain that the client is guilty?

Let Xbe a negative binomial random variable with parameters rand p, and let Ybe a binomial random variable with parameters nand p. Show that

P{X>n}=P{Y<r}

Hint: Either one could attempt an analytical proof of the preceding equation, which is equivalent to proving the identity

i=n+1i1r1pr(1p)ir=i=0r1ni×pi(1p)ni

or one could attempt a proof that uses the probabilistic interpretation of these random variables. That is, in the latter case, start by considering a sequence of independent trials having a common probability p of success. Then try to express the events to express the events {X>n}and {Y<r}in terms of the outcomes of this sequence.

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A satellite system consists ofn components and functions on any given day if at least k of the n components function on that day. On a rainy day, each of the components independently functions with probability p1, whereas, on a dry day, each independently functions with probability p2. If the probability of rain tomorrow is what is the probability that the satellite system will function?

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