Chapter 3: Q.3.26 (page 109)
Prove the equivalence of Equations (5.11) and (5.12).
Short Answer
Both directions are proven so the equivalence is correct.
Chapter 3: Q.3.26 (page 109)
Prove the equivalence of Equations (5.11) and (5.12).
Both directions are proven so the equivalence is correct.
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Get started for freeA total of 46 percent of the voters in a certain city classify themselves as Independents, whereas 30 percent classify themselves as Liberals and 24 percent say that they are Conservatives. In a recent local election, 35 percent of the Independents, 62 percent of the Liberals, and 58 percent of the Conservatives voted. A voter is chosen at random. Given that this person voted in the local election, what is the probability that he or she is
(a) an Independent?
(b) a Liberal?
(c) a Conservative?
(d) What percent of voters participated in the local election?
Barbara and Dianne go target shooting. Suppose that each of Barbara’s shots hits a wooden duck target with probability p1, while each shot of Dianne’s hits it with probability p2. Suppose that they shoot simultaneously at the same target. If the wooden duck is knocked over (indicating that it was hit), what is the probability that
(a) both shots hit the duck?
(b) Barbara’s shot hit the duck?
A total of married working couples were polled about their annual salaries , with the following information resulting:
Wife | Husband | |
Less than | More than | |
Less than | ||
More than |
For instance, in of the couples, the wife earned more and the husband earned less than \(. If one of the couples is randomly chosen, what is
(a) the probability that the husband earns less than \)?
(b) the conditional probability that the wife earns more than \(given that the husband earns more than this amount?
(c) the conditional probability that the wife earns more than \)given that the husband earns less than this amount?
Prostate cancer is the most common type of cancer found in males. As an indicator of whether a male has prostate cancer, doctors often perform a test that measures the level of the prostate-specific antigen (PSA) that is produced only by the prostate gland. Although PSA levels are indicative of cancer, the test is notoriously unreliable. Indeed, the probability that a noncancerous man will have an elevated PSA level is approximately .135, increasing to approximately .268 if the man does have cancer. If, on the basis of other factors, a physician is 70 percent certain that a male has prostate cancer, what is the conditional probability that he has the cancer given that
(a) the test indicated an elevated PSA level?
(b) the test did not indicate an elevated PSA level?
Repeat the preceding calculation, this time assuming that the physician initially believes that there is a 30 percent chance that the man has prostate cancer.
An urn contains 12 balls, of which 4 are white. Three players A, B, and C successively draw from the urn, A first, then B, then C, then A, and so on. The winner is the
first one to draw a white ball. Find the probability of winning
for each player if
(a) each ball is replaced after it is drawn;
(b) the balls that are withdrawn are not replaced.
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