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Lars Svensson, a former Princeton professor and deputy governor of the Swedish central bank, proclaimed that when an economy is at risk of falling into deflation, central bankers should be "responsibly irresponsible" with monetary expansion policies. What does this mean, and how does it relate to the monetary transmission mechanisms?

Short Answer

Expert verified

As a result of being "responsibly irresponsible," central banks may provide temporary but powerful inflationary policies, which will raise inflation expectations, magnify aggregate demand, and easily lift the economy out of deflation.

Step by step solution

01

Step 1. Concept of Deflation 

Deflation occurs when the overall price level declines and the economy's inflation rate is negative.

02

Step 2. Explanation

When the economy is in a deflationary state, the rate of inflation falls below zero, causing interest rates to rise and the cost of capital to rise as well. An increase in the cost of capital leads to lower consumption and investment through interest rate channels, adding to the deflationary pressure. In addition, the short-term nominal interest rate has reached zero, rendering traditional interest rate policy ineffective.

As a result of being "responsibly irresponsible," central banks may provide temporary but powerful inflationary policies, which will raise inflation expectations, magnify aggregate demand, and easily lift the economy out of deflation.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

How does the experience of Japan during the "two lost decades" lend support to the four lessons for monetary policy outlined in this chapter?

If adverse selection and moral hazard increase, how does this affect the ability of monetary policy to address economic downturns?

During the 2007-2009 recession, the value of common stocks in real terms fell by more than 50%. How might this decline in the stock market have affected aggregate demand and thus contributed to the severity of the recession? Be specific about the mechanisms through which the stock market decline affected the economy.

1. Go to http://www.econlib.org/library/Encl/Recessions . html and review the material on recessions.

a. What is the formal definition of a recession?

b. What are the problems with the definition?

c. What are the three Ds used by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) to define a recession?

d. Review Chart 1. What trend is apparent regarding the length of recessions?

As defined in Exercise 1, a "rate cycle" is a period of monetary policy during which the federal funds rate moves from its low point toward its high point, or vice versa, in response to business cycle conditions. Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on the federal funds rate (FEDFUNDS), bank reserves (TOTRESNS), bank deposits (TCDSL), commercial and industrial loans (BUSLOANS), real estate loans (REALLN), real business fixed investment (PNFIC96), and real residential investment (PRFIC96). Use the frequency setting to convert the federal funds rate, bank reserves, bank deposits, commercial and industrial loans, and real estate loans data to "quarterly," and download the data.

a. When did the last rate cycle begin and end? (Note: If a rate cycle is currently in progress, use the current period as the end.) Is this rate cycle a contractionary or an expansionary rate cycle?

b. Calculate the percentage change in bank deposits, bank lending, real business fixed investment, and real residential (housing) investment over this rate cycle.

c. Based on your answers to parts (a) and (b), how effective was the bank lending channel of monetary policy over this rate cycle?

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