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In the late 1990 s, the stock market was rising rapidly, the economy was growing, and the Federal Reserve kept interest rates relatively low. Comment on how this policy stance would affect the economy as it relates to the Tobin q transmission mechanisms.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Tobin's q predicted that when inflation goes up and borrowing costs remain low, capital will rise, resulting in increased aggregate demand. Stock price increases will improve customer wealth, resulting in greater spending and inflationary pressures.

Step by step solution

01

Concept Introduction.

The mechanisms whereby the Federal Reserve System's monetary policies affect macroeconomic development are known as monetary policy channels.

02

Explanation of solution.

Tobin is the one to describe the relationship between economic growth and expenditure, and his reasoning is known as Tobin's q. Considering Tobin's q and the impact of affluence on expansionary monetary policy, we have a consistent condition. Given low-interest rates and higher stock values, Tobin's q predicted that capital would rise, resulting in increased aggregate demand.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

"Considering that consumption accounts for nearly two-thirds of total GDP, this means that the interest rate, wealth, and household liquidity channels are the most important monetary policy channels in the U.S." Is this statement true, false, or uncertain? Explain your answer.

How are the wealth effect and the household liquidity effect similar? How are they different?

During and after the global financial crisis, the Fed provided banks with large amounts of liquidity. Banks' excess reserves increased sharply, while credit extended to households and firms decreased sharply. Comment on the effectiveness of the bank lending channel during this period.

Lars Svensson, a former Princeton professor and deputy governor of the Swedish central bank, proclaimed that when an economy is at risk of falling into deflation, central bankers should be "responsibly irresponsible" with monetary expansion policies. What does this mean, and how does it relate to the monetary transmission mechanisms?

As defined in Exercise 1, a "rate cycle" is a period of monetary policy during which the federal funds rate moves from its low point toward its high point, or vice versa, in response to business cycle conditions. Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on the federal funds rate (FEDFUNDS), bank reserves (TOTRESNS), bank deposits (TCDSL), commercial and industrial loans (BUSLOANS), real estate loans (REALLN), real business fixed investment (PNFIC96), and real residential investment (PRFIC96). Use the frequency setting to convert the federal funds rate, bank reserves, bank deposits, commercial and industrial loans, and real estate loans data to "quarterly," and download the data.

a. When did the last rate cycle begin and end? (Note: If a rate cycle is currently in progress, use the current period as the end.) Is this rate cycle a contractionary or an expansionary rate cycle?

b. Calculate the percentage change in bank deposits, bank lending, real business fixed investment, and real residential (housing) investment over this rate cycle.

c. Based on your answers to parts (a) and (b), how effective was the bank lending channel of monetary policy over this rate cycle?

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