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Many economists are worried that a high level of budget deficits may lead to inflationary monetary policies in the future. Could these budget deficits have an effect on the current rate of inflation?

Short Answer

Expert verified

Yes, if these actions are fully expected, they may cause a short-term aggregate supply shift.

Step by step solution

01

Content Introduction

Inflation, or the constant rise in price levels, is one of the key threats of a budget deficit. A budget deficit in the United States can prompt the Federal Reserve to pump more money into the economy, feeding inflation

02

Content Explanation

Budget deficit is the difference between government receipts (mainly from taxes) and spending. There is a deficit when spending exceeds revenue. A surplus exists when revenue exceeds expenditure. When the budget deficit grows due to an increase in government spending or a decrease in government revenue, the Treasury must issue more bonds. This lowers bond prices and raises interest rates.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

As part of its response to the global financial crisis, the Fed lowered the federal funds rate target to nearly zero by December 2008 and quadrupled the monetary base between 2008 and 2017, a considerable easing of monetary policy. However, survey-based measures of five- to ten-year inflation expectations remained low throughout most of this period. Comment on the Fedโ€™s credibility in fighting inflation.

What does the Lucas critique state about the limitations of our current understanding of the way in which the economy works?

Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on the core PCE price index (PCEPILFE) and the spot price of a barrel of oil (WTISPLC). For both variables, convert the units setting to "Percent Change from Year Ago, " and download the data from 1960 to the most recent available data.

a. Identify periods in which oil price inflation is 80%or higher.

b. In the periods identified in part (a), how many months was oil price inflation 80% or higher? What was the average core inflation rate during each of those episodes?

c. Based on your answers to parts (a) and (b) above, what can you conclude about the credibility of more recent monetary policy compared to its credibility in the earlier periods?

How does a credible nominal anchor help improve the economic outcomes that result from a positive aggregate demand shock? How does a credible nominal anchor help if a negative aggregate supply shock occurs? Use graphs of aggregate supply and demand to demonstrate.

Outline the benefits and costs of sticking to a set of rules in each of the following cases. How do each of these situations relate to the conduct of economic policies?

a. Going on a diet

b. Raising children

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