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If, in a surprise victory, a new administration that the public believes will pursue inflationary policy is elected to office, predict what might happen to the level of output and inflation even before the new administration comes into power

Short Answer

Expert verified

As predicted inflation rises as a result of the election, the short-run aggregate supply curve shifts upward, resulting in higher inflation and lower output.

Step by step solution

01

Content Explanation

A rise in the price of a group of goods and services over a period of time is referred to as price inflation. Price inflation is commonly caused by high demand and supply shortfalls.

02

Step 2:  Content Explanation

Assuming that the public believes the government will adopt an inflationary strategy. As a result, the public anticipates an increase in inflation once this administration takes office. Increased inflation expectations change the short-run aggregate supply curve, resulting in a new level of output and price equilibrium. So, the price level has risen, keeping in mind that this is happening even before inflation arrives, and even before this administration takes office and begins to adopt an inflationary agenda. It simply states that as a result of these inflation expectations, the price level has increased, or inflation has increased, and output has decreased.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

As part of its response to the global financial crisis, the Fed lowered the federal funds rate target to nearly zero by December 2008 and quadrupled the monetary base between 2008 and 2017, a considerable easing of monetary policy. However, survey-based measures of five- to ten-year inflation expectations remained low throughout most of this period. Comment on the Fedโ€™s credibility in fighting inflation.

Many economists are worried that a high level of budget deficits may lead to inflationary monetary policies in the future. Could these budget deficits have an effect on the current rate of inflation?

โ€œThe more credible the policymakers who pursue an anti-inflation policy, the more successful that policy will be.โ€ Is this statement true, false, or uncertain? Explain your answer

Central banks that engage in inflation targeting usually announce the inflation target and time period for which that target will be relevant. In addition, central bank officials are held accountable for their actions (e.g., they could be fired if the target is not reached), and their success or lack thereof is also public information. Explain why transparency is such a fundamental ingredient of inflation targeting.

Various survey-based measures of inflation expectations are available reflecting consumer, market, and economists" outlooks. For instance, the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) is available from the Philadelphia Federal Reserve at https//www.philadelphiafed.org/research-and-data/ real-time-center/survey-of-professional-forecasters/, while the well-known University of Michigan consumer inflation expectations survey is available at https://fred st1ouisfed org/series/MICH. Compare the most recent readings of inflation expectations of the SPF and Michigan survey to actual CPI inflation. In general, which one seems to be more accurate?

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