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“The Lucas critique by itself casts doubt on the ability of discretionary stabilization policy to be beneficial.” Is this statement true, false, or uncertain? Explain your answer

Short Answer

Expert verified

The statement is true. This is because the non-rational expectations regarding the economic models impacted the stabilization policy.

Step by step solution

01

Step:1  Introduction

In a 1976 article, prominent economist Robert Lucas described how macroeconomic models might be exploited to evaluate changes in economic policy. Lucas' critique is the name given to this piece.

02

Step:2 Explanation

The Lucas critique in Economics indicates to us the effect that will be carried upon the policy of price inflation and also that the outputs will be depending on the expectations that will help us make the economic policy more effective.

Non-rational expectations econometric models disregard the impact of changing expectations, making them unreliable for evaluating policy options. According to the Lucas critique, the impact of policy on inflation and output is influenced by expectations, making it more difficult to design a helpful policy.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

If, in a surprise victory, a new administration that the public believes will pursue inflationary policy is elected to office, predict what might happen to the level of output and inflation even before the new administration comes into power

Suppose country A has a central bank with full credibility, and country B has a central bank with no credibility. How does the credibility of each country's central bank affect the speed of adjustment of the aggregate supply curve to policy announcements? How does this result affect output stability? Use an aggregate supply and demand diagram to demonstrate.

How can the establishment of an exchange-rate target bring credibility to a country with a poor record of inflation stabilization?

Suppose an econometric model based on past data predicts a small decrease in domestic investment when the Federal Reserve increases the federal funds rate. Assume the Federal Reserve is considering an increase in the federal funds rate target to fight inflation and promote a low inflation environment that will encourage investment and economic growth.

a. Discuss the implications of the econometric model’s predictions if individuals interpret the increase in the federal funds rate target as a sign that the Fed will keep inflation at low levels in the long run.

b. What would be Lucas’s critique of this model?

“The more credible the policymakers who pursue an anti-inflation policy, the more successful that policy will be.” Is this statement true, false, or uncertain? Explain your answer

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