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In general, how does credibility (or lack thereof) affect the aggregate supply curve?

Short Answer

Expert verified

When individuals expect more inflation, the aggregate supply curve will shift upwards in the short run.

Step by step solution

01

Content Introduction

Let us look at credibility of the central bank and the aggregate supply curve and tend to make analysis.

02

Content Explanation

People's expectations of inflation would be significantly lower if the central bank had high credibility, because we just trust the central bank. We expect they will follow an anti-inflationary strategy. When individuals expect more inflation, the aggregate supply curve will shift upwards in the short run.

Another factor is that we believe the central bank's confidence is significantly stronger, thus we forecast lower inflation. So, in essence, when I get the supply curve to shift to the right, we'll see the short.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

As part of its response to the global financial crisis, the Fed lowered the federal funds rate target to nearly zero by December 2008 and quadrupled the monetary base between 2008 and 2017, a considerable easing of monetary policy. However, survey-based measures of five- to ten-year inflation expectations remained low throughout most of this period. Comment on the Fedโ€™s credibility in fighting inflation.

How does a credible nominal anchor help improve the economic outcomes that result from a positive aggregate demand shock? How does a credible nominal anchor help if a negative aggregate supply shock occurs? Use graphs of aggregate supply and demand to demonstrate.

Outline the benefits and costs of sticking to a set of rules in each of the following cases. How do each of these situations relate to the conduct of economic policies?

a. Going on a diet

b. Raising children

Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on the personal consumption expenditure price index (PCECTPI). Convert the units setting to "Percent Change from Year Ago, " and download the data. Beginning in January 2012, the Fed formally announced a 2% inflation goal over the "longer-term."

a. Calculate the average inflation rate over the last four and the last eight quarters of data available. How does it compare to the2% inflation goal?

b. What, if anything, does your answer to part (a) imply about Federal Reserve credibility?

Suppose the statistical office of a country does a poor job in measuring inflation and reports an annualized inflation rate of 4%for a few months, while the true inflation rate has been 2.5%. What will happen to the central bank's credibility if it is engaged in inflation targeting and its target is around 2%?

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