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How is an autonomous tightening or easing of monetary policy different from a change in the real interest rate caused by a change in the current inflation rate?

Short Answer

Expert verified

Inflation expectations have a considerable impact on people's present decisions on a variety of economic activities. It is crucial since these assumptions tend to diverge consumer spending, undermining economic stability.

Step by step solution

01

Concept of Inflation 

Inflation expectation refers to the expectation of future inflation among individuals in a country, such as businessmen, employees, and investors. Making suitable expectations about future inflation is important since the rate of effect of these expectations on future inflation is extremely high.

02

Explanation

Individuals' inflation expectations have a significant impact on their current decision-making on numerous economic activities. Because these assumptions tend to diverge consumers' spending, affecting economic stability, it is critical.

For example, if people expect inflation to rise in the future, they will tend to consume or buy a lot now because their actual income will fall in the future, according to their predictions. This rapid rise in spending will cause economic instability, disrupting supply, interest rates, and other macroeconomic variables.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Consider the economy described in Applied Problem 23.

a. Derive expressions for the MP curve and the AD

curve.

b. Assume that p = 2. What are the real interest rate

and the equilibrium level of output?

c. Suppose government spending increases to $4 trillion.

What happens to equilibrium output?

d. If the Fed wants to keep output constant, then what

monetary policy change should it make?

Suppose the MP curve is given by r=2+ฯ€and the IS curve is given by Y = 20 - 2r.

a. Derive an expression for the AD curve, and draw a graph labeling points at ฯ€=0,ฯ€=4,ฯ€=8

b. Suppose that ฮปincreases to ฮป=2. Derive an expression for the new AD curve, and draw the new AD curve using the graph from part (a).

c. What does your answer to part (b) imply about the relationship between a central bankโ€™s distaste for inflation and the slope of the AD curve?

Consider an economy described by the following:

C = \(3.25 trillion

I = \)1.3 trillion

G = \(3.5 trillion

T = \)3.0 trillion

NX = -$1.0 trillion

f = 1

mpc = 0.75

d = 0.3

x = 0.1

l = 1

r = 1

a. Derive expressions for the MP curve and the AD

curve.

b. Assume that p = 1. Calculate the real interest

rate, the equilibrium level of output, consumption,

planned investment, and net exports.

c. Suppose the Fed increases r to r = 2. Calculate the

real interest rate, the equilibrium level of output,

consumption, planned investment, and net exports

at this new level of r.

d. Considering that output, consumption, planned

investment, and net exports all decreased in part (c),

why might the Fed choose to increase r?

Why does the aggregate demand curve shift when โ€œanimal spiritsโ€ change?

A measure of real interest rates can be approximated by the Treasury Inflation-Indexed Security, or TIIS. Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on the five-year TIIS (FII5) and the personal consumption expenditure price index

(PCECTPI), a measure of the price index. Choose โ€œQuarterlyโ€ for the frequency setting for the TIIS, and choose โ€œPercent Change From Year Agoโ€ for the unitssetting on (PCECTPI). Plot both series on the samegraph, using data from 2007through the most currentdata available. Use the graph to identify periods of autonomous monetary policy changes. Briefly explain your reasoning.

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