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M1 money growth in the U.S. was about 15%in localid="1647014587488" 2011and2012, and 10%in 2013. Over the same time period, the yield on 3-month Treasury bills was close to 0%. Given these high rates of money growth, why did interest rates stay so low, rather than increase? What does this say about the income, price-level, and expected-inflation effects

Short Answer

Expert verified

The interest rate was low since the liquidity effect outweighed all other benefits.

Step by step solution

01

Introduction

Inflation is defined as a condition in which the price of all goods and services begins to rise, reducing people's real purchasing power.

02

Explanation

Money supply expansion is typically associated with high predicted inflation, strong economic growth, and a rise in interest rates over time. However, between 2011 and 2013, unemployment was high, economic growth was slow, and economists were more concerned about deflation. All other effects were smaller at the time in comparison to the liquidity effect. As a result, the interest rate remained low for a long time.

As a result, the interest rate was low since the liquidity effect outweighed all other benefits.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Using both the liquidity preference framework and the supply and demand for bonds framework, show why interest rates are procyclical (rising when the economy is expanding and falling during recessions)

The demand curve and supply curve for one-year discount bonds with a face value of$1000are represented by the following equations:

Bd:Price=-0.8×Quantity+1100Bs:Price=Quantity+680

a. What is the expected equilibrium price and quantity of bonds in this market?

b. Given your answer to part (a), what is the expected interest rate in this market?

Suppose Maria prefers to buy a bond with a 7% expected return and 2% standard deviation of its expected return, while Jennifer prefers to buy a bond with a 4% expected return and 1% standard deviation of its expected return. Can you tell if Maria is more or less risk-averse than Jennifer?

One of the points made in this chapter is that inflation erodes investment returns. Go to http://www.moneychimp.com/articles/econ/inflation_calculator.htm and review how changes in inflation alter your real return using the second inflation calculator. What happens to the difference between the future value of an investment and its inflation-adjusted value as

a. inflation increases?

b. the investment horizon lengthens?

c. expected returns increase?

An important way in which the Federal Reserve decreases the money supply is by selling bonds to the public. Using a supply and demand analysis for bonds, show what effect this action has on interest rates. Is your answer consistent with what you would expect to find with the liquidity preference framework?

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