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“If the data and recognition lags could be reduced, activist policy probably would be more beneficial to the economy.” Is this statement true, false, or uncertain? Explain your answer.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The assertion is valid because a shift in the aggregate demand curve will arise from a shorter data lag and recognition lag.

Step by step solution

01

Step 1. Introduction

Aggregate demand is the economy's total overall demand for final goods and services at any one time.

02

Step 2. Explanation

The statement is correct because the shorter data lag and recognition lag will result in a shift in the aggregate demand curve, allowing aggressive policies to quickly bring the economy to full employment. The time required to collect data and decide on the economy's future course of action will be reduced when the time span of lags decreases.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Because government policymakers do not consider inflation desirable, their policies cannot be the source of inflation.” Is this statement true, false, or uncertain? Explain your answer.

In 2003, as the U.S. economy finally seemed poised to exit its ongoing recession, the Fed began to worry about a “soft patch” in the economy, in particular the possibility of a deflation. As a result, the Fed proactively lowered the federal funds rate from 1.75% in late 2002 to 1% by mid-2003, the lowest federal funds rate on record up to that point in time. In addition, the Fed committed to keeping the federal funds rate at this level for a considerable period of time. This policy was considered highly expansionary and was seen by some as potentially inflationary and unnecessary.

  1. How might fears of a zero lower bound justify such a policy, even if the economy was not actually in a recession?
  2. Show the impact of these policies on the MP curve and the AD/AS graph. Be sure to show the initial conditions in 2003 and the impact of the policy on the deflation threat.

For aggregate demand shocks and permanent supply shocks, the price stability and economic activity stability objectives are consistent: Stabilizing inflation stabilizes economic activity, even in the short run. For temporary supply shocks, however, there is a trade-off between stabilizing inflation and stabilizing economic activity in the short run. In the long run, however, there is no conflict between stabilizing inflation and stabilizing economic activity.

Why does the self-correcting mechanism stop working when the policy rate hits the zero lower bound?

The Problems update with real-time data in MyLab Economics and are available for practice or instructor assignment. 1. On January 19, 2017, the Federal Reserve released its amended statement on longer-run goals and monetary policy strategy. It stated: “The Committee reaffirms its judgment that inflation at the rate of 2 percent, as measured by the annual change in the price index for personal consumption expenditures, is most consistent over the longer run with the Federal Reserve’s statutory mandate” and that “the median of FOMC participants’ estimates of the longer-run normal rate of unemployment was 4.8 percent.” Assume this statement implies that the natural rate of unemployment is believed to be 4.8%. Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on the personal consumption expenditure price index (PCECTPI), the unemployment rate (UNRATE), real GDP (GDPC1), and real potential gross domestic product (GDPPOT), an estimate of potential GDP. For the price index, adjust the units setting to “Percent Change From Year Ago.” Download the data into a spreadsheet.

  1. For the most recent four quarters of data available, calculate the average inflation gap using the 2% target referenced by the Fed. Calculate this value as the average of the inflation gaps over the four quarters.
  2. For the most recent four quarters of data available, calculate the average output gap using the GDP measure and the potential GDP estimate. Calculate the gap as the percentage deviation of output from the potential level of output. Calculate the average value over the most recent four quarters of data available.
  3. For the most recent 12 months of data available, calculate the average unemployment gap, using 5.6% as the presumed natural rate of unemployment. Based on your answers to parts (a) through (c), does the divine coincidence apply to the current economic situation? Why or why not? What does your answer imply about the sources of shocks that have impacted the current economy? Briefly explain.
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