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In its statement dated June 14,2017 , the Federal Open Market Committee indicated that inflation "is running somewhat below 2% . Go to http://research stlouisfed .org/fred2/, and click on the Series ID link "CPIAUCSL" (Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items-SA). Then click on the link "Percent Change from Year Ago." What has happened to the inflation rate since the time of the last reported value in Figure 16 ?

Short Answer

Expert verified

Since December 2009, the inflation rate has been fluctuating.

Step by step solution

01

Step 1. Concept of Inflation 

Inflation is defined as the rate at which the general price level of goods and services rises, resulting in a decline in the economy's purchasing power.

02

Step 2. Explanation

In December 2009, the rate of change in the inflation rate was 2.8 percent. The rate of inflation has risen over time, with the most recent adjustment in April 2018 being 2.4 percent.

Increased earnings, consumer confidence, and a low unemployment rate are all possible causes of inflation. Consumers spend more when their salaries are consistent and the unemployment rate is low. As a result of the increased spending, the price of products and services rises, causing inflation in the economy. Another cause of inflation could be a decline in supply, because when demand for a commodity rises, the supply of that commodity falls. As a result of the limited availability, consumers are ready to pay more, resulting in higher inflation.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on the personal consumption expenditure price index (PCECTPI), a measure of the price level; real compensation per hour (COMPRNFB); the nonfarm business sector real output per hour (OPHNFB), a measure of worker productivity; the price of a barrel of oil (MCOILWTICO); and the University of Michigan survey of inflation expectations (MICH). Use the frequency setting to convert the oil price and inflation expectations data series to "Quarterly," and

use the units setting to convert the price index to "Percent Change from Year Ago." Download all of the data into a spreadsheet, and convert the compensation and productivity measures to a single indicator. To do this, for each quarter, take the compensation number and subtract the productivity number. Call this difference "Net Wages Above Productivity."

a. Calculate the change in the inflation rate over the four most recent quarters of data available and the four quarters prior to that.

b. Calculate the changes in net wages above productivity, the price of oil, and inflation expectations over the four most recent quarters of data available and the four quarters prior to that.

c. Are your results consistent with what you would expect? How do your answers to part (b) help explain, if at all, your answer to part (a)? Explain using the short-run aggregate supply curve.

Are there any โ€œgoodโ€ supply shocks? Explain.

Why did the Federal Reserve pursue inherently recessionary policies in the early 1980 s?

The Problems update with real-time data in My Lab Economics and are available for practice or instructor assignment.

1. Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on real government spending (GCEC1), real GDP (GDPC1), taxes (WO06RC1 Q 027 SBEA), and the personal consumption expenditure price index (PCECTPI), a measure of the price level. Download all of the data into a spreadsheet, and convert the tax data series into real taxes. To do this, for each quarter, divide taxes by the price index and then multiply by 100 .

a. Calculate the level change in real GDP over the four most recent quarters of data available and the four quarters prior to that.

b. Calculate the level change in real government spending and real taxes over the four most recent quarters of data available and the four quarters prior to that.

c. Are your results consistent with what you would expect? How do your answers to part (b) help explain, if at all, your answer to part (a)? Explain using the IS and A D curves.

Explain why the aggregate demand curve slopes downward and the short-run aggregate supply curve slopes upward.

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