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During 2017, some Fed officials discussed the possibility of increasing interest rates as a way of fighting potential increases in expected inflation. If the public came to expect higher inflation rates in the future, what would be the effect on the short-run aggregate supply curve? Use an aggregate demand and supply graph to illustrate your answer.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The diagram showing effect of expectation of high inflation in future on short run aggregate supply curve is as follows:

Step by step solution

01

Concept Introduction  

The speed at which general price index of products and services rise which ends up within the decrease within the purchasing power of the economy is understood as inflation.

02

Explanation of Solution  

If the general public expect higher inflation in near future, then this expectation will shift short-run aggregate demand curve leftwards from AS to AS1. Because high inflation will lead to increased index number, therefore producers reduce the mixture supply within the economy in current time to provide the products and services at higher price levels. During 2017, Federal officials were at the chance of accelerating rate of interest to regulate the inflation. Increase in rate of interest is extremely late, it'll further increase the expectation of inflation whereas increasing interest rates way too early will affect the recovery. this may cut down recover may take the economy towards the recession.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

If large budget deficits cause the public to think there will be higher inflation in the future, what is likely to happen to the short-run aggregate supply curve when budget deficits rise?

When aggregate output is below the natural rate of output, what happens to the inflation rate over time if the aggregate demand curve remains unchanged? Why?

Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on the personal consumption expenditure price index (PCECTPI), a measure of the price level; real compensation per hour (COMPRNFB); the nonfarm business sector real output per hour (OPHNFB), a measure of worker productivity; the price of a barrel of oil (MCOILWTICO); and the University of Michigan survey of inflation expectations (MICH). Use the frequency setting to convert the oil price and inflation expectations data series to "Quarterly," and

use the units setting to convert the price index to "Percent Change from Year Ago." Download all of the data into a spreadsheet, and convert the compensation and productivity measures to a single indicator. To do this, for each quarter, take the compensation number and subtract the productivity number. Call this difference "Net Wages Above Productivity."

a. Calculate the change in the inflation rate over the four most recent quarters of data available and the four quarters prior to that.

b. Calculate the changes in net wages above productivity, the price of oil, and inflation expectations over the four most recent quarters of data available and the four quarters prior to that.

c. Are your results consistent with what you would expect? How do your answers to part (b) help explain, if at all, your answer to part (a)? Explain using the short-run aggregate supply curve.

In its statement dated June 14, 2017, the Federal Open Market Committee indicated that inflation โ€œis running somewhat below 2%.โ€ Go to http://research.stlouisfed .org/fred2/, and click on the Series ID link โ€œCPIAUCSLโ€ (Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items-SA). Then click on the link โ€œPercent Change from Year Ago.โ€ What has happened to the inflation rate since the time of the last reported value in Figure 16?

In many countries around the world, the population is aging and large segments of the population are retiring or close to retirement. What effect would this have on a countryโ€™s long-run aggregate supply curve? What will happen to aggregate output as a result?

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