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Using an aggregate demand and supply graph, illustrate and describe the following:

a. The short-run effects of an increase in the money supply.

b. The long-run effects of an increase in the money supply.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The short-term and long-term effects of a brief negative supply shock.

The short-term and long-term effects of a permanent negative supply shock.

Step by step solution

01

(a) Step 1. Concept of temporary negative supply shock

A transient negative supply shock occurs when the supply of products and services is reduced for a short period of time.

02

(b) Step 2. Explanation

The following is a diagram depicting the effect of a transient negative supply shock in the short and long run:

Figure out (1)

Where,

- The long run aggregate supply curve is abbreviated as LRAS.

- AS is the aggregate supply curve in the near run.

- The aggregate demand curve is abbreviated as AD. In Figure 1, the economy moves from point 1to point 2. When there is a transitory negative supply shock, inflation rises and output falls below its potential. The inflation expectations are lowered as a result of the negative output gap. Expected inflation declines, bringing the aggregate supply curve back to AS. At this moment, the economy has returned to point 1's initial long-run equilibrium.

03

(b) Step 1. Concept of permanent negative supply shock 

The term "permanent negative supply shock" refers to a situation in which the supply of products and services is reduced for an extended length of time.

04

(b) Step 2. Explanation

The following diagram depicts the long-term and short-term effects of a permanent negative supply shock:

Figure out (2)

Where,

- The long run aggregate supply curve is abbreviated as LRAS.

- AS is the aggregate supply curve in the near run.

- The aggregate demand curve is A D.

In the case of a permanent negative supply shock, output falls at first and inflation rises. In the case of a permanent negative supply shock, potential production diminishes over time. Point 3shows how a loss in potential output leads to a permanent drop in output and an increase in inflation (figure 2 ).

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Are there any โ€œgoodโ€ supply shocks? Explain.

The financial crisis of 2007โ€“2009 sent the United States into its worst recession since the end of World War II, with the unemployment rate rising to above 10%. Go to http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/ and click on the Series ID link โ€œUNRATEโ€ (Civilian Unemployment Rate). What has happened to the unemployment rate since the time of the last reported value in Figure 16?

Suppose the inflation rate remains relatively constant while output decreases and the unemployment rate increases. Using an aggregate demand and supply graph, show how this scenario is possible.

Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on the personal consumption expenditure price index (PCECTPI), a measure of the price level; real compensation per hour (COMPRNFB); the nonfarm business sector real output per hour (OPHNFB), a measure of worker productivity; the price of a barrel of oil (MCOILWTICO); and the University of Michigan survey of inflation expectations (MICH). Use the frequency setting to convert the oil price and inflation expectations data series to "Quarterly," and

use the units setting to convert the price index to "Percent Change from Year Ago." Download all of the data into a spreadsheet, and convert the compensation and productivity measures to a single indicator. To do this, for each quarter, take the compensation number and subtract the productivity number. Call this difference "Net Wages Above Productivity."

a. Calculate the change in the inflation rate over the four most recent quarters of data available and the four quarters prior to that.

b. Calculate the changes in net wages above productivity, the price of oil, and inflation expectations over the four most recent quarters of data available and the four quarters prior to that.

c. Are your results consistent with what you would expect? How do your answers to part (b) help explain, if at all, your answer to part (a)? Explain using the short-run aggregate supply curve.

Classify each of the following as a supply shock or a demand shock. Use a graph to show the effects on inflation and output in the short run and in the long run.

a. Financial frictions increase.

b. Households and firms become more optimistic about the economy.

c. Favorable weather produces a record crop of wheat and corn in the Midwest.

d. Auto workers go on strike for four months.

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