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In the aftermath of the financial crisis in the United States, labor mobility has decreased significantly. How, if at all, might this affect the natural rate of unemployment?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The financial crisis resulted in a slowing of the economy, a decline in output, and the liquidation of firms. As a result, widespread unemployment prevailed throughout the economy.

Step by step solution

01

Step 1. Define unemployment.

Unemployment is defined as persons over a particular age who are not employed or self-employed but are looking for work during the reference period.

02

Step 2. How might the current situation affect the natural rate of unemployment?

The financial crisis resulted in a slowing of the economy, a decline in output, and the liquidation of firms. As a result, widespread unemployment prevailed throughout the economy.

Economists categorise unemployment into three types. One is made up as a result of ordinary job turnover in a robust financial market. The second type is structural, in which an obsolete skill or new technology has overtaken the previous one, leaving older workers unemployed. The third type is cyclical, and it occurs when the economy slows.

The natural rate of unemployment is the rate of unemployment caused by natural rather than economic movements. The natural rate of unemployment does not include unemployment caused by an economic downturn or a financial crisis.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on the personal consumption expenditure price index (PCECTPI), a measure of the price level; real compensation per hour (COMPRNFB); the nonfarm business sector real output per hour (OPHNFB), a measure of worker productivity; the price of a barrel of oil (MCOILWTICO); and the University of Michigan survey of inflation expectations (MICH). Use the frequency setting to convert the oil price and inflation expectations data series to "Quarterly," and

use the units setting to convert the price index to "Percent Change from Year Ago." Download all of the data into a spreadsheet, and convert the compensation and productivity measures to a single indicator. To do this, for each quarter, take the compensation number and subtract the productivity number. Call this difference "Net Wages Above Productivity."

a. Calculate the change in the inflation rate over the four most recent quarters of data available and the four quarters prior to that.

b. Calculate the changes in net wages above productivity, the price of oil, and inflation expectations over the four most recent quarters of data available and the four quarters prior to that.

c. Are your results consistent with what you would expect? How do your answers to part (b) help explain, if at all, your answer to part (a)? Explain using the short-run aggregate supply curve.

In what ways is the Volcker disinflation considered a success? In what ways is it considered a failure?

If large budget deficits cause the public to think there will be higher inflation in the future, what is likely to happen to the short-run aggregate supply curve when budget deficits rise?

In its statement dated June 14,2017 , the Federal Open Market Committee indicated that inflation "is running somewhat below 2% . Go to http://research stlouisfed .org/fred2/, and click on the Series ID link "CPIAUCSL" (Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items-SA). Then click on the link "Percent Change from Year Ago." What has happened to the inflation rate since the time of the last reported value in Figure 16 ?

Why did China fare much better than the United States and the United Kingdom during the 2007-2009 financial crisis?

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